Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 34°C in Karachi on May 9 at Masroor Airbase Station (99.9% implied probability), driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts pinpointing 34–36°C amid post-heatwave cooling, corroborated by NOAA-aligned models from AccuWeather and BBC Weather showing daily highs of 93°F (34°C). Recent observations confirm peaks at 34°C under hazy conditions with southwest sea breezes moderating continental heat advection after earlier surges to 44°C. Model ensembles indicate low intensification risk due to high humidity (47–60%) and wind shear. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies or instrument spikes pushing to 35°C+, though official PMD evening updates and final Masroor data will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 9?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 9?
34°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$24,450 Vol.
$24,450 Vol.
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$24,450 Vol.
$24,450 Vol.
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 34°C in Karachi on May 9 at Masroor Airbase Station (99.9% implied probability), driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts pinpointing 34–36°C amid post-heatwave cooling, corroborated by NOAA-aligned models from AccuWeather and BBC Weather showing daily highs of 93°F (34°C). Recent observations confirm peaks at 34°C under hazy conditions with southwest sea breezes moderating continental heat advection after earlier surges to 44°C. Model ensembles indicate low intensification risk due to high humidity (47–60%) and wind shear. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies or instrument spikes pushing to 35°C+, though official PMD evening updates and final Masroor data will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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