Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature on May 10, with market-implied odds nearly split between 36°C or higher (41.5%) and 26°C or below (40.5%), driven by conflicting Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and global model runs like GFS and ECMWF. Recent western disturbance passage over upper Pakistan has introduced humid southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, tempering early May heatwaves—PMD noted May 8 highs at 33–35°C after peaks near 39°C—potentially capping peaks via enhanced sea breeze from warm Arabian Sea waters (around 28°C). However, building continental high pressure signals rapid rebound toward historical May averages of 34–35°C or above, with heatwave alerts for Sindh. Key differentiators include cloudiness and wind shear; watch PMD's daily bulletin and model updates on May 9 for resolution clarity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 10?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 10?
36°C or higher 32%
34°C 32%
35°C 26%
33°C 4.8%
NEW
NEW
May 10, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
32%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
32%
36°C or higher 32%
34°C 32%
35°C 26%
33°C 4.8%
NEW
NEW
May 10, 2026
26°C or below
$817 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$621 Vol.
1%
32°C
$847 Vol.
1%
33°C
$768 Vol.
5%
34°C
$62 Vol.
32%
35°C
$69 Vol.
26%
36°C or higher
$274 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature on May 10, with market-implied odds nearly split between 36°C or higher (41.5%) and 26°C or below (40.5%), driven by conflicting Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and global model runs like GFS and ECMWF. Recent western disturbance passage over upper Pakistan has introduced humid southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, tempering early May heatwaves—PMD noted May 8 highs at 33–35°C after peaks near 39°C—potentially capping peaks via enhanced sea breeze from warm Arabian Sea waters (around 28°C). However, building continental high pressure signals rapid rebound toward historical May averages of 34–35°C or above, with heatwave alerts for Sindh. Key differentiators include cloudiness and wind shear; watch PMD's daily bulletin and model updates on May 9 for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
Volume
$5,367End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:50 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature on May 10, with market-implied odds nearly split between 36°C or higher (41.5%) and 26°C or below (40.5%), driven by conflicting Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and global model runs like GFS and ECMWF. Recent western disturbance passage over upper Pakistan has introduced humid southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, tempering early May heatwaves—PMD noted May 8 highs at 33–35°C after peaks near 39°C—potentially capping peaks via enhanced sea breeze from warm Arabian Sea waters (around 28°C). However, building continental high pressure signals rapid rebound toward historical May averages of 34–35°C or above, with heatwave alerts for Sindh. Key differentiators include cloudiness and wind shear; watch PMD's daily bulletin and model updates on May 9 for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,367End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:50 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature on May 10, with market-implied odds nearly split between 36°C or higher (41.5%) and 26°C or below (40.5%), driven by conflicting Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and global model runs like GFS and ECMWF. Recent western disturbance passage over upper Pakistan has introduced humid southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, tempering early May heatwaves—PMD noted May 8 highs at 33–35°C after peaks near 39°C—potentially capping peaks via enhanced sea breeze from warm Arabian Sea waters (around 28°C). However, building continental high pressure signals rapid rebound toward historical May averages of 34–35°C or above, with heatwave alerts for Sindh. Key differentiators include cloudiness and wind shear; watch PMD's daily bulletin and model updates on May 9 for resolution clarity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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