BMKG's latest forecast for May 10 in DKI Jakarta projects cloudy conditions with temperature ranges reaching up to 33°C in southern and eastern districts, driving trader consensus toward 33°C at 48.5% implied probability and 34°C at 34.5%, as urban heat island effects and dry season onset amplify peaks beyond central averages of 25–32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where historical highs average 32°C amid low precipitation and high humidity, though partial cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could cap maxima or allow brief surges to 34°C via enhanced solar heating. Recent observations from early May show similar 32–33°C patterns, with final resolution hinging on BMKG's official daily high measurement across Jakarta municipalities. Traders await hourly updates as the event unfolds tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 10?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 10?
33°C 51%
34°C 47%
35°C 7.0%
32°C 6.8%
$27,575 Vol.
$27,575 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
51%
34°C
47%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
34°C 47%
35°C 7.0%
32°C 6.8%
$27,575 Vol.
$27,575 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
51%
34°C
47%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...BMKG's latest forecast for May 10 in DKI Jakarta projects cloudy conditions with temperature ranges reaching up to 33°C in southern and eastern districts, driving trader consensus toward 33°C at 48.5% implied probability and 34°C at 34.5%, as urban heat island effects and dry season onset amplify peaks beyond central averages of 25–32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where historical highs average 32°C amid low precipitation and high humidity, though partial cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could cap maxima or allow brief surges to 34°C via enhanced solar heating. Recent observations from early May show similar 32–33°C patterns, with final resolution hinging on BMKG's official daily high measurement across Jakarta municipalities. Traders await hourly updates as the event unfolds tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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