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icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$197,551 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$197,551 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Finland

Finland

$38,556 Vol.

80%

icon for Greece

Greece

$13,865 Vol.

67%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$38,062 Vol.

59%

icon for Israel

Israel

$24,941 Vol.

58%

icon for France

France

$7,386 Vol.

57%

icon for Australia

Australia

$3,861 Vol.

54%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$7,476 Vol.

26%

icon for Romania

Romania

$1,859 Vol.

28%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$7,500 Vol.

30%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$16,420 Vol.

29%

icon for Austria

Austria

$382 Vol.

28%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$127 Vol.

27%

icon for Italy

Italy

$3,004 Vol.

27%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$134 Vol.

15%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$293 Vol.

12%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$423 Vol.

15%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$3,071 Vol.

13%

icon for Malta

Malta

$4,714 Vol.

13%

icon for Albania

Albania

$378 Vol.

10%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$1,773 Vol.

10%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$283 Vol.

9%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$817 Vol.

7%

icon for Norway

Norway

$1,853 Vol.

6%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$439 Vol.

5%

icon for Germany

Germany

$2,734 Vol.

5%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$683 Vol.

11%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$363 Vol.

4%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$2,333 Vol.

3%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$43 Vol.

2%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$1,072 Vol.

19%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$12,070 Vol.

2%

icon for Poland

Poland

$295 Vol.

2%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$773 Vol.

1%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$68 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$973 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With first rehearsals kicking off this week at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle ahead of semi-finals on May 12 and 14, trader consensus crowns Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen as the top top-5 lock, driven by its universal appeal in pre-party shows, fan polls, and bookmaker frontrunner status across jury and televote metrics. Israel's Noam Bettan and Michelle have surged as televote favorites—climbing from low single digits post-national final—despite boycott backlash, while Greece's Akylas Ferto, France's Monroe, and Denmark hold firm in the mix via strong streaming buzz and precursor momentum. Rehearsal reveals on staging and live vocals could spark shifts before the May 16 grand final, where jury-televote splits often deliver upsets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$197,551
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With first rehearsals kicking off this week at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle ahead of semi-finals on May 12 and 14, trader consensus crowns Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen as the top top-5 lock, driven by its universal appeal in pre-party shows, fan polls, and bookmaker frontrunner status across jury and televote metrics. Israel's Noam Bettan and Michelle have surged as televote favorites—climbing from low single digits post-national final—despite boycott backlash, while Greece's Akylas Ferto, France's Monroe, and Denmark hold firm in the mix via strong streaming buzz and precursor momentum. Rehearsal reveals on staging and live vocals could spark shifts before the May 16 grand final, where jury-televote splits often deliver upsets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$197,551
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

28%
icon for Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

70%
icon for Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

92%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 80%, followed by "Greece" at 67%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $197.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Finland" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 67%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.