Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 1040-1079 X posts by Elon Musk in April 2026 at 96.4% implied probability, driven by his metronomic posting cadence averaging 34-36 per day—verified via XTracker data and resolved weekly markets like April 24-May 1 showing 26 daily averages amid steady output. Over the past week, daily tallies varied from 20-56 amid viral threads on SpaceX Falcon successes, X ad upgrades, and economic commentary, yet the cumulative pace remains locked without disruption. With hours left on April 30, final-day extremes like a 60+ post spree on breaking news could upset into 1080+ territory, while uncharacteristic quiet might drop below 1040—scenarios at odds with Elon's high-engagement pop culture dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1040-1079 98.4%
1080-1119 <1%
1120-1159 <1%
960-999 <1%
$13,072,082 Vol.
$13,072,082 Vol.
960-999
<1%
1000-1039
<1%
1040-1079
98%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1040-1079 98.4%
1080-1119 <1%
1120-1159 <1%
960-999 <1%
$13,072,082 Vol.
$13,072,082 Vol.
960-999
<1%
1000-1039
<1%
1040-1079
98%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 1040-1079 X posts by Elon Musk in April 2026 at 96.4% implied probability, driven by his metronomic posting cadence averaging 34-36 per day—verified via XTracker data and resolved weekly markets like April 24-May 1 showing 26 daily averages amid steady output. Over the past week, daily tallies varied from 20-56 amid viral threads on SpaceX Falcon successes, X ad upgrades, and economic commentary, yet the cumulative pace remains locked without disruption. With hours left on April 30, final-day extremes like a 60+ post spree on breaking news could upset into 1080+ territory, while uncharacteristic quiet might drop below 1040—scenarios at odds with Elon's high-engagement pop culture dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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