Trader consensus favors Israel at 32.5% implied probability to claim the Eurovision 2026 televote winner title with Noam Bettan's multilingual pop anthem "Michelle," buoyed by strong diaspora voting blocs and persistent bookmaker leadership in public vote odds since its March release. Greece and Finland trail closely at 19.5% each, with Akylas's vibrant "Ferto"—fresh off a "Super Ferto" remix last week—surging on recent betting momentum and Balkan support, while Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen's violin-driven "Liekinheitin" dominates OGAE fan polls and overall frontrunner status post-UMK triumph. The wide-open field hinges on upcoming rehearsals, pre-party stagings, and final fan voting shifts before Vienna's May showdown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 33%
Greece 20%
Finland 20%
Romania 4.8%
$6,397,551 Vol.
$6,397,551 Vol.

Israel
33%

Greece
20%

Finland
20%

Romania
5%

Ukraine
4%

Moldova
2%

Italy
2%

France
2%

Sweden
1%

Cyprus
1%

Denmark
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Poland
1%

Australia
1%

Malta
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Germany
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 33%
Greece 20%
Finland 20%
Romania 4.8%
$6,397,551 Vol.
$6,397,551 Vol.

Israel
33%

Greece
20%

Finland
20%

Romania
5%

Ukraine
4%

Moldova
2%

Italy
2%

France
2%

Sweden
1%

Cyprus
1%

Denmark
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Poland
1%

Australia
1%

Malta
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Germany
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Israel at 32.5% implied probability to claim the Eurovision 2026 televote winner title with Noam Bettan's multilingual pop anthem "Michelle," buoyed by strong diaspora voting blocs and persistent bookmaker leadership in public vote odds since its March release. Greece and Finland trail closely at 19.5% each, with Akylas's vibrant "Ferto"—fresh off a "Super Ferto" remix last week—surging on recent betting momentum and Balkan support, while Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen's violin-driven "Liekinheitin" dominates OGAE fan polls and overall frontrunner status post-UMK triumph. The wide-open field hinges on upcoming rehearsals, pre-party stagings, and final fan voting shifts before Vienna's May showdown.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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