What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Name: What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Start: 2026-04-29T21:24:36.971Z
End: 2026-05-05T00:00:00.000Z

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Swapped 34%

Bugonia 30%

The Proposal 27%

Ari Shaffer: Jew 27%

NEW

May 5, 2026

Swapped

$5 Vol.

34%

Bugonia

$210 Vol.

30%

The Proposal

$0 Vol.

27%

Ari Shaffer: Jew

$0 Vol.

27%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir

$0 Vol.

27%

180

$55 Vol.

26%

Thrash

$0 Vol.

25%

Roommates

$0 Vol.

24%

Apex

$0 Vol.

24%

Den of Thieves

$60 Vol.

19%

Swapped 34%

Bugonia 30%

The Proposal 27%

Ari Shaffer: Jew 27%

NEW

May 5, 2026

Swapped

$5 Vol.

34%

Bugonia

$210 Vol.

30%

The Proposal

$0 Vol.

27%

Ari Shaffer: Jew

$0 Vol.

27%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir

$0 Vol.

27%

180

$55 Vol.

26%

Thrash

$0 Vol.

25%

Roommates

$0 Vol.

24%

Apex

$0 Vol.

24%

Den of Thieves

$60 Vol.

19%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Will "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

87%

Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

45%

Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

67%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Swapped" at 34%, followed by "The Proposal" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is "Swapped" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Proposal" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 34¢ for "Swapped" in the "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 34% chance that "Swapped" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 34¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 66¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 5, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?"?

What are the current odds for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?"?

How will "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" be resolved?

Can I follow "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?"?

What does a price of 34¢ for "Swapped" mean?

When does the "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" market close?

What are traders saying about "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?"?

What is Polymarket?