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Will Comey smile in his mugshot?

icon for Will Comey smile in his mugshot?

Will Comey smile in his mugshot?

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW

$22,951 Vol.

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW

$22,951 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James B. Comey is smiling in his front-view mugshot released by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying mugshot is released during the above-specified timeframe. This mugshot will resolve based on the first front-view mugshot released after this market's creation. The resolution source for this market will be the first front-view mugshot released.Former FBI Director James Comey surrendered to federal authorities in Virginia on April 29 following a two-count indictment by a grand jury on April 28 for allegedly threatening President Trump via a 2025 social media photo of seashells arranged as "8647." Traders' near-unanimous 96% implied probability on "No" stems from Comey's consistent somber demeanor in public appearances, including his stern FBI portrait and congressional testimonies, compounded by the gravity of charges carrying up to five years in prison. His initial court appearance occurred without incident, with a mugshot expected imminently per standard booking procedures. Realistic shifts could arise from an uncharacteristic defiant smile or procedural release on recognizance bypassing a public photo.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James B. Comey is smiling in his front-view mugshot released by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying mugshot is released during the above-specified timeframe.

This mugshot will resolve based on the first front-view mugshot released after this market's creation.

The resolution source for this market will be the first front-view mugshot released.
Volume
$22,951
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James B. Comey is smiling in his front-view mugshot released by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying mugshot is released during the above-specified timeframe. This mugshot will resolve based on the first front-view mugshot released after this market's creation. The resolution source for this market will be the first front-view mugshot released.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James B. Comey is smiling in his front-view mugshot released by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying mugshot is released during the above-specified timeframe. This mugshot will resolve based on the first front-view mugshot released after this market's creation. The resolution source for this market will be the first front-view mugshot released.Former FBI Director James Comey surrendered to federal authorities in Virginia on April 29 following a two-count indictment by a grand jury on April 28 for allegedly threatening President Trump via a 2025 social media photo of seashells arranged as "8647." Traders' near-unanimous 96% implied probability on "No" stems from Comey's consistent somber demeanor in public appearances, including his stern FBI portrait and congressional testimonies, compounded by the gravity of charges carrying up to five years in prison. His initial court appearance occurred without incident, with a mugshot expected imminently per standard booking procedures. Realistic shifts could arise from an uncharacteristic defiant smile or procedural release on recognizance bypassing a public photo.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James B. Comey is smiling in his front-view mugshot released by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying mugshot is released during the above-specified timeframe.

This mugshot will resolve based on the first front-view mugshot released after this market's creation.

The resolution source for this market will be the first front-view mugshot released.
Volume
$23,482
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James B. Comey is smiling in his front-view mugshot released by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying mugshot is released during the above-specified timeframe. This mugshot will resolve based on the first front-view mugshot released after this market's creation. The resolution source for this market will be the first front-view mugshot released.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Comey smile in his mugshot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Comey smile in his mugshot?" has generated $23K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Comey smile in his mugshot?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Comey smile in his mugshot?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Comey smile in his mugshot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.