The near-certain 98% market-implied odds on "No" reflect traders' assessment that verifiable fulfillment of core Christian eschatological criteria remains absent, with no confirmed global signs, prophetic alignments, or public appearances matching historical scriptural descriptions in the current cycle. Cultural narratives around the Second Coming, amplified through media and religious commentary, have repeatedly failed to materialize on predicted timelines, reinforcing skepticism backed by real capital at risk. Historical precedent shows such events have not occurred within short windows despite recurring claims, while resolution hinges on objective, widely observable confirmation rather than private interpretations. A realistic upset would require an unprecedented, broadly documented development—such as a universally recognized return event before the 2027 cutoff—that shifts the aggregated sentiment, though the compressed timeframe leaves little room for late surprises to alter the current consensus.