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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Den of Thieves 27%

The Proposal 26%

Roommates 25%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir 24%

Polymarket
NEW

Den of Thieves 27%

The Proposal 26%

Roommates 25%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir 24%

Polymarket
NEW

Den of Thieves

$0 Vol.

27%

The Proposal

$0 Vol.

26%

Roommates

$7 Vol.

25%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir

$0 Vol.

24%

Apex

$100 Vol.

13%

Ari Shaffer: Jew

$0 Vol.

6%

Bugonia

$62 Vol.

5%

Thrash

$206 Vol.

3%

180

$206 Vol.

2%

Swapped

$10 Vol.

45%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Swapped as the frontrunner for #2 US Netflix movie this week at 44.5% implied probability, fueled by its May 1 animated debut featuring Michael B. Jordan's voice work in a Freaky Friday-style family adventure that has generated trailer buzz and appeals to broad demographics amid strong precursor streaming patterns for Skydance Animation titles. Close challengers Den of Thieves (27%) benefits from Gerard Butler's action-heist draw newly arriving the same day, following its sequel's recent chart success, while evergreen rom-com The Proposal (26%) and current #2 holdover Roommates (25%) leverage proven viewer retention. Miraculous World: Paris (24%) eyes family streaming surges, but weekend viewership metrics post-May 1 drops will be pivotal in this tight race, with Apex likely locking #1 after dominating early-week charts.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$590
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Swapped as the frontrunner for #2 US Netflix movie this week at 44.5% implied probability, fueled by its May 1 animated debut featuring Michael B. Jordan's voice work in a Freaky Friday-style family adventure that has generated trailer buzz and appeals to broad demographics amid strong precursor streaming patterns for Skydance Animation titles. Close challengers Den of Thieves (27%) benefits from Gerard Butler's action-heist draw newly arriving the same day, following its sequel's recent chart success, while evergreen rom-com The Proposal (26%) and current #2 holdover Roommates (25%) leverage proven viewer retention. Miraculous World: Paris (24%) eyes family streaming surges, but weekend viewership metrics post-May 1 drops will be pivotal in this tight race, with Apex likely locking #1 after dominating early-week charts.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$590
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Swapped" at 45%, followed by "Den of Thieves" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "Swapped" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Den of Thieves" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.