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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Apex 87%

Swapped 9%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir 4.6%

Bugonia 4.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Apex 87%

Swapped 9%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir 4.6%

Bugonia 4.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Apex

$531 Vol.

87%

Swapped

$321 Vol.

9%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir

$306 Vol.

5%

Bugonia

$371 Vol.

4%

The Proposal

$281 Vol.

2%

Ari Shaffer: Jew

$298 Vol.

1%

Den of Thieves

$332 Vol.

1%

Thrash

$345 Vol.

1%

180

$346 Vol.

1%

Roommates

$385 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus heavily favors Apex at 87% implied probability to claim the top US Netflix movie spot this week, driven by its blockbuster premiere on April 24 starring Charlize Theron in a gripping survival thriller that racked up 38.2 million views in its debut week and held the #1 position through April 28-29 per daily charts. Positive critical reception, including praise for its tense wilderness cat-and-mouse narrative, has fueled massive streaming metrics and Charlize Theron star power, outpacing holdovers like Roommates and prior chart-topper Thrash. Swapped, an animated body-swap comedy voiced by Michael B. Jordan, sits at 10% as it drops May 1, with potential for a family-viewing surge, while others like Bugonia and Miraculous World trail amid fading momentum. Netflix's weekly Top 10 update will lock final viewership hours soon.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,515
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus heavily favors Apex at 87% implied probability to claim the top US Netflix movie spot this week, driven by its blockbuster premiere on April 24 starring Charlize Theron in a gripping survival thriller that racked up 38.2 million views in its debut week and held the #1 position through April 28-29 per daily charts. Positive critical reception, including praise for its tense wilderness cat-and-mouse narrative, has fueled massive streaming metrics and Charlize Theron star power, outpacing holdovers like Roommates and prior chart-topper Thrash. Swapped, an animated body-swap comedy voiced by Michael B. Jordan, sits at 10% as it drops May 1, with potential for a family-viewing surge, while others like Bugonia and Miraculous World trail amid fading momentum. Netflix's weekly Top 10 update will lock final viewership hours soon.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,515
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

icon for Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

45%
icon for Will "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Will "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

87%
icon for Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

34%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apex" at 87%, followed by "Swapped" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Apex" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Swapped" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.