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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Man on Fire: Season 1 30%

Hulk Hogan: Real American 26%

Should I Marry A Murderer? 26%

Straight to Hell: Season 1 24%

Polymarket
NEW

Man on Fire: Season 1 30%

Hulk Hogan: Real American 26%

Should I Marry A Murderer? 26%

Straight to Hell: Season 1 24%

Polymarket
NEW

Man on Fire: Season 1

$100 Vol.

30%

Hulk Hogan: Real American

$0 Vol.

26%

Should I Marry A Murderer?

$0 Vol.

26%

Straight to Hell: Season 1

$0 Vol.

24%

Unchosen

$0 Vol.

24%

Stranger Things: Tales From '85

$218 Vol.

22%

BEEF: Season 2

$62 Vol.

11%

Million Dollar Secret: Season 2

$62 Vol.

11%

Running Point: Season 2

$5 Vol.

42%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket closely pits Running Point Season 2 at 42.5% against Man on Fire Season 1 at 40% for the #2 US Netflix TV spot this week, with Unchosen Season 1 dominating #1 via 10.4 million debut views. Running Point holds a slim edge from its opening-week 5.3 million views—despite a 43% drop from Season 1—buoyed by positive buzz around Ray Romano's coaching role and family dramedy appeal. Man on Fire, starring Yahya Abdul-Mateen II in the action-thriller adaptation, premiered April 30 with strong teaser hype, positioning it for a potential weekend binge surge amid sequel fatigue seen in BEEF Season 2's disappointing 4.1 million at #3. Hulk Hogan: Real American lingers at #5, while others trail; final streaming metrics before Sunday's chart lock will decide this tight race.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$447
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket closely pits Running Point Season 2 at 42.5% against Man on Fire Season 1 at 40% for the #2 US Netflix TV spot this week, with Unchosen Season 1 dominating #1 via 10.4 million debut views. Running Point holds a slim edge from its opening-week 5.3 million views—despite a 43% drop from Season 1—buoyed by positive buzz around Ray Romano's coaching role and family dramedy appeal. Man on Fire, starring Yahya Abdul-Mateen II in the action-thriller adaptation, premiered April 30 with strong teaser hype, positioning it for a potential weekend binge surge amid sequel fatigue seen in BEEF Season 2's disappointing 4.1 million at #3. Hulk Hogan: Real American lingers at #5, while others trail; final streaming metrics before Sunday's chart lock will decide this tight race.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$447
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Running Point: Season 2" at 42%, followed by "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is "Running Point: Season 2" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.