Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Austria's COSMÓ with "Tanzschein" as the narrow frontrunner for last place in the Eurovision 2026 grand final, driven by lukewarm preview reactions criticizing its generic pop staging and vocal inconsistencies despite the host nation's automatic qualification. The United Kingdom's LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER and novelty electro track "Eins, Zwei, Drei" trails closely at 22%, reflecting Big Five historical struggles and jury risks akin to recent nul points threats. Latvia's Atvara ("Ēnā"), Armenia's Simón ("Paloma Rumba"), and Lithuania's Lion Ceccah ("Sólo quiero más") cluster around 16-18% amid simulated jury snubs and niche appeal in a stacked field favoring Nordic and Mediterranean frontrunners. With first rehearsals imminent before semis on May 12 and 14, live run-throughs and potential staging tweaks could spark momentum shifts in this tightly contested wooden spoon race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision Last Place 2026
Eurovision Last Place 2026
Austria 29%
United Kingdom 22%
Poland 13.1%
Latvia 7.0%
$69,844 Vol.
$69,844 Vol.

Austria
29%

United Kingdom
22%

Poland
13%

Latvia
19%

Germany
7%

Bulgaria
5%

San Marino
5%

Israel
15%

Italy
3%

Belgium
3%

Czechia
3%

Azerbaijan
2%

France
2%

Portugal
2%

Denmark
2%

Moldova
15%

Sweden
1%

Cyprus
1%

Ukraine
1%

Croatia
1%

Norway
11%

Australia
<1%

Luxembourg
12%

Armenia
17%

Greece
<1%

Lithuania
18%

Malta
15%

Albania
15%

Estonia
16%

Finland
<1%

Georgia
16%

Montenegro
16%

Serbia
15%

Switzerland
18%

Romania
<1%
Austria 29%
United Kingdom 22%
Poland 13.1%
Latvia 7.0%
$69,844 Vol.
$69,844 Vol.

Austria
29%

United Kingdom
22%

Poland
13%

Latvia
19%

Germany
7%

Bulgaria
5%

San Marino
5%

Israel
15%

Italy
3%

Belgium
3%

Czechia
3%

Azerbaijan
2%

France
2%

Portugal
2%

Denmark
2%

Moldova
15%

Sweden
1%

Cyprus
1%

Ukraine
1%

Croatia
1%

Norway
11%

Australia
<1%

Luxembourg
12%

Armenia
17%

Greece
<1%

Lithuania
18%

Malta
15%

Albania
15%

Estonia
16%

Finland
<1%

Georgia
16%

Montenegro
16%

Serbia
15%

Switzerland
18%

Romania
<1%
If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Austria's COSMÓ with "Tanzschein" as the narrow frontrunner for last place in the Eurovision 2026 grand final, driven by lukewarm preview reactions criticizing its generic pop staging and vocal inconsistencies despite the host nation's automatic qualification. The United Kingdom's LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER and novelty electro track "Eins, Zwei, Drei" trails closely at 22%, reflecting Big Five historical struggles and jury risks akin to recent nul points threats. Latvia's Atvara ("Ēnā"), Armenia's Simón ("Paloma Rumba"), and Lithuania's Lion Ceccah ("Sólo quiero más") cluster around 16-18% amid simulated jury snubs and niche appeal in a stacked field favoring Nordic and Mediterranean frontrunners. With first rehearsals imminent before semis on May 12 and 14, live run-throughs and potential staging tweaks could spark momentum shifts in this tightly contested wooden spoon race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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