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icon for Eurovision Last Place 2026

Eurovision Last Place 2026

icon for Eurovision Last Place 2026

Eurovision Last Place 2026

Austria 29%

United Kingdom 22%

Poland 13.1%

Latvia 7.0%

Polymarket

$69,844 Vol.

Austria 29%

United Kingdom 22%

Poland 13.1%

Latvia 7.0%

Polymarket

$69,844 Vol.

icon for Austria

Austria

$20,169 Vol.

29%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$8,975 Vol.

22%

icon for Poland

Poland

$704 Vol.

13%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$775 Vol.

19%

icon for Germany

Germany

$1,435 Vol.

7%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$820 Vol.

5%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$831 Vol.

5%

icon for Israel

Israel

$1,333 Vol.

15%

icon for Italy

Italy

$598 Vol.

3%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$699 Vol.

3%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$812 Vol.

3%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$1,067 Vol.

2%

icon for France

France

$941 Vol.

2%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$974 Vol.

2%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$671 Vol.

2%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$654 Vol.

15%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$900 Vol.

1%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$609 Vol.

1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$1,352 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$598 Vol.

1%

icon for Norway

Norway

$662 Vol.

11%

icon for Australia

Australia

$637 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$682 Vol.

12%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$917 Vol.

17%

icon for Greece

Greece

$598 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$657 Vol.

18%

icon for Malta

Malta

$620 Vol.

15%

icon for Albania

Albania

$638 Vol.

15%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$890 Vol.

16%

icon for Finland

Finland

$15,200 Vol.

<1%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$609 Vol.

16%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$689 Vol.

16%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$593 Vol.

15%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$680 Vol.

18%

icon for Romania

Romania

$859 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Austria's COSMÓ with "Tanzschein" as the narrow frontrunner for last place in the Eurovision 2026 grand final, driven by lukewarm preview reactions criticizing its generic pop staging and vocal inconsistencies despite the host nation's automatic qualification. The United Kingdom's LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER and novelty electro track "Eins, Zwei, Drei" trails closely at 22%, reflecting Big Five historical struggles and jury risks akin to recent nul points threats. Latvia's Atvara ("Ēnā"), Armenia's Simón ("Paloma Rumba"), and Lithuania's Lion Ceccah ("Sólo quiero más") cluster around 16-18% amid simulated jury snubs and niche appeal in a stacked field favoring Nordic and Mediterranean frontrunners. With first rehearsals imminent before semis on May 12 and 14, live run-throughs and potential staging tweaks could spark momentum shifts in this tightly contested wooden spoon race.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final.

If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$69,844
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Austria's COSMÓ with "Tanzschein" as the narrow frontrunner for last place in the Eurovision 2026 grand final, driven by lukewarm preview reactions criticizing its generic pop staging and vocal inconsistencies despite the host nation's automatic qualification. The United Kingdom's LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER and novelty electro track "Eins, Zwei, Drei" trails closely at 22%, reflecting Big Five historical struggles and jury risks akin to recent nul points threats. Latvia's Atvara ("Ēnā"), Armenia's Simón ("Paloma Rumba"), and Lithuania's Lion Ceccah ("Sólo quiero más") cluster around 16-18% amid simulated jury snubs and niche appeal in a stacked field favoring Nordic and Mediterranean frontrunners. With first rehearsals imminent before semis on May 12 and 14, live run-throughs and potential staging tweaks could spark momentum shifts in this tightly contested wooden spoon race.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final.

If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$69,844
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Last Place 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Austria" at 28%, followed by "United Kingdom" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Last Place 2026" has generated $69.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Last Place 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Last Place 2026" is "Austria" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "United Kingdom" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Last Place 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.