Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's highly variable X posting frequency, with recent May 2026 averages hovering around 20-25 posts per day—153 total through early May 9 across roughly seven days—driving tight odds between the 65-89 (58.5%) and 40-64 (57.0%) buckets for May 11-13. Daily swings, from a quiet May 3 (7 posts) to spikes like May 1 (68) and May 9 (28), fueled by Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary, create uncertainty in this three-day window. Lower-volume <40 (53.5%) gains traction on quieter midweek patterns, while 115-139 (50.0%) hinges on viral news catalysts; watch for real-time tracker updates as the period nears, with Elon's unpredictable engagement keeping markets fluid.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 52%
<40 33%
65-89 20%
90-114 4.5%
NEW
NEW
May 13, 2026
<40
26%
40-64
61%
65-89
20%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
3%
165-189
3%
190-214
3%
215-239
3%
240+
1%
40-64 52%
<40 33%
65-89 20%
90-114 4.5%
NEW
NEW
May 13, 2026
<40
$18 Vol.
26%
40-64
$27 Vol.
61%
65-89
$264 Vol.
20%
90-114
$100 Vol.
5%
115-139
$70 Vol.
1%
140-164
$100 Vol.
3%
165-189
$100 Vol.
3%
190-214
$100 Vol.
3%
215-239
$100 Vol.
3%
240+
$105 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 11 12:00 PM ET to May 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's highly variable X posting frequency, with recent May 2026 averages hovering around 20-25 posts per day—153 total through early May 9 across roughly seven days—driving tight odds between the 65-89 (58.5%) and 40-64 (57.0%) buckets for May 11-13. Daily swings, from a quiet May 3 (7 posts) to spikes like May 1 (68) and May 9 (28), fueled by Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary, create uncertainty in this three-day window. Lower-volume <40 (53.5%) gains traction on quieter midweek patterns, while 115-139 (50.0%) hinges on viral news catalysts; watch for real-time tracker updates as the period nears, with Elon's unpredictable engagement keeping markets fluid.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 11 12:00 PM ET to May 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$984End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 11 12:00 PM ET to May 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's highly variable X posting frequency, with recent May 2026 averages hovering around 20-25 posts per day—153 total through early May 9 across roughly seven days—driving tight odds between the 65-89 (58.5%) and 40-64 (57.0%) buckets for May 11-13. Daily swings, from a quiet May 3 (7 posts) to spikes like May 1 (68) and May 9 (28), fueled by Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary, create uncertainty in this three-day window. Lower-volume <40 (53.5%) gains traction on quieter midweek patterns, while 115-139 (50.0%) hinges on viral news catalysts; watch for real-time tracker updates as the period nears, with Elon's unpredictable engagement keeping markets fluid.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 11 12:00 PM ET to May 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$984End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's highly variable X posting frequency, with recent May 2026 averages hovering around 20-25 posts per day—153 total through early May 9 across roughly seven days—driving tight odds between the 65-89 (58.5%) and 40-64 (57.0%) buckets for May 11-13. Daily swings, from a quiet May 3 (7 posts) to spikes like May 1 (68) and May 9 (28), fueled by Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary, create uncertainty in this three-day window. Lower-volume <40 (53.5%) gains traction on quieter midweek patterns, while 115-139 (50.0%) hinges on viral news catalysts; watch for real-time tracker updates as the period nears, with Elon's unpredictable engagement keeping markets fluid.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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