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icon for Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
Politics·Canada

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

icon for Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
Politics·Canada

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

22% chance
Polymarket
NEW
22% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ontario Progressive Conservative Party leader and Premier Doug Ford's reaffirmed commitment to seeking a fourth term, stated at the January PC convention and echoed in February amid succession speculation, anchors trader consensus at 78.5% against his departure by year-end. Recent April backlash over a $28.9-million private jet purchase—reversed within days following public outcry—dented PC polling, tying them with Liberals per Abacus and Liaison data, yet elicited no leadership challenge or party revolt. With the June 4 provincial election looming, Ford's control over caucus and absence of rivals or no-confidence signals sustain high odds of continuity, barring an electoral collapse or scandal escalation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,152
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ontario Progressive Conservative Party leader and Premier Doug Ford's reaffirmed commitment to seeking a fourth term, stated at the January PC convention and echoed in February amid succession speculation, anchors trader consensus at 78.5% against his departure by year-end. Recent April backlash over a $28.9-million private jet purchase—reversed within days following public outcry—dented PC polling, tying them with Liberals per Abacus and Liaison data, yet elicited no leadership challenge or party revolt. With the June 4 provincial election looming, Ford's control over caucus and absence of rivals or no-confidence signals sustain high odds of continuity, barring an electoral collapse or scandal escalation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,152
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 22% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 22¢, the market collectively assigns a 22% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?" is 22% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 22% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.