Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 85.5% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office beyond December 31, 2026, driven by the enduring stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition, which secured a Lok Sabha majority in 2024 and has shown no fractures despite post-election adjustments with allies like TDP and JD(U). Recent parliamentary turbulence, including a March 2026 no-confidence motion debated in Lok Sabha and swiftly dismissed, underscored opposition disunity while affirming NDA cohesion. Modi's active leadership—evident in February NDA parliamentary meetings reviewing the Union Budget, ongoing West Bengal assembly election campaigns, and Cabinet oversight of issues like West Asia tensions—signals continuity through his term ending in 2029, barring unforeseen health, legal, or coalition-shifting events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$28,320 Vol.
$28,320 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$28,320 Vol.
$28,320 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 85.5% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office beyond December 31, 2026, driven by the enduring stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition, which secured a Lok Sabha majority in 2024 and has shown no fractures despite post-election adjustments with allies like TDP and JD(U). Recent parliamentary turbulence, including a March 2026 no-confidence motion debated in Lok Sabha and swiftly dismissed, underscored opposition disunity while affirming NDA cohesion. Modi's active leadership—evident in February NDA parliamentary meetings reviewing the Union Budget, ongoing West Bengal assembly election campaigns, and Cabinet oversight of issues like West Asia tensions—signals continuity through his term ending in 2029, barring unforeseen health, legal, or coalition-shifting events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$28,320End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 85.5% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office beyond December 31, 2026, driven by the enduring stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition, which secured a Lok Sabha majority in 2024 and has shown no fractures despite post-election adjustments with allies like TDP and JD(U). Recent parliamentary turbulence, including a March 2026 no-confidence motion debated in Lok Sabha and swiftly dismissed, underscored opposition disunity while affirming NDA cohesion. Modi's active leadership—evident in February NDA parliamentary meetings reviewing the Union Budget, ongoing West Bengal assembly election campaigns, and Cabinet oversight of issues like West Asia tensions—signals continuity through his term ending in 2029, barring unforeseen health, legal, or coalition-shifting events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,320End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 85.5% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office beyond December 31, 2026, driven by the enduring stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition, which secured a Lok Sabha majority in 2024 and has shown no fractures despite post-election adjustments with allies like TDP and JD(U). Recent parliamentary turbulence, including a March 2026 no-confidence motion debated in Lok Sabha and swiftly dismissed, underscored opposition disunity while affirming NDA cohesion. Modi's active leadership—evident in February NDA parliamentary meetings reviewing the Union Budget, ongoing West Bengal assembly election campaigns, and Cabinet oversight of issues like West Asia tensions—signals continuity through his term ending in 2029, barring unforeseen health, legal, or coalition-shifting events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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