Modi’s National Democratic Alliance maintains a stable Lok Sabha majority after the 2024 elections and subsequent state victories, including Bihar in late 2025 and Delhi earlier that year, with no scheduled national vote until 2029. Recent diplomatic activity—including meetings with European leaders and ongoing management of West Asia-related economic pressures—underscores continuity in leadership without reported coalition fractures or credible no-confidence challenges. Traders price the low probability of an exit by the 2026 cutoff against the absence of viable mechanisms such as resignation signals, party revolts, or opposition strength sufficient to force an early change, reflecting the structural durability of the current government.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$110,408 Vol.
$110,408 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$110,408 Vol.
$110,408 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Modi’s National Democratic Alliance maintains a stable Lok Sabha majority after the 2024 elections and subsequent state victories, including Bihar in late 2025 and Delhi earlier that year, with no scheduled national vote until 2029. Recent diplomatic activity—including meetings with European leaders and ongoing management of West Asia-related economic pressures—underscores continuity in leadership without reported coalition fractures or credible no-confidence challenges. Traders price the low probability of an exit by the 2026 cutoff against the absence of viable mechanisms such as resignation signals, party revolts, or opposition strength sufficient to force an early change, reflecting the structural durability of the current government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$110,408End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Modi’s National Democratic Alliance maintains a stable Lok Sabha majority after the 2024 elections and subsequent state victories, including Bihar in late 2025 and Delhi earlier that year, with no scheduled national vote until 2029. Recent diplomatic activity—including meetings with European leaders and ongoing management of West Asia-related economic pressures—underscores continuity in leadership without reported coalition fractures or credible no-confidence challenges. Traders price the low probability of an exit by the 2026 cutoff against the absence of viable mechanisms such as resignation signals, party revolts, or opposition strength sufficient to force an early change, reflecting the structural durability of the current government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$110,408End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Modi’s National Democratic Alliance maintains a stable Lok Sabha majority after the 2024 elections and subsequent state victories, including Bihar in late 2025 and Delhi earlier that year, with no scheduled national vote until 2029. Recent diplomatic activity—including meetings with European leaders and ongoing management of West Asia-related economic pressures—underscores continuity in leadership without reported coalition fractures or credible no-confidence challenges. Traders price the low probability of an exit by the 2026 cutoff against the absence of viable mechanisms such as resignation signals, party revolts, or opposition strength sufficient to force an early change, reflecting the structural durability of the current government.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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