Recent polls, including RAI Consultants (April 21) showing AKEL at 21.7% and DISY at 21.3%, alongside averages from PolitPro and Politico placing both near 22%, reflect a razor-thin race for most seats in Cyprus's proportional representation system ahead of the May 24 parliamentary elections. Trader consensus prices DISY as the likely winner due to its slight edge in survey trends and historical incumbency advantages, despite ELAM's steady 13-14% threatening fragmentation. Parliament's unanimous dissolution last week formalized the timeline, while undecided voters (20-25%) and rising support for ALMA and Ámesi Dimokratía heighten uncertainty, with no party projected to secure a majority in the 56-seat House.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
DISY 62%
AKEL 39%
ELAM 3.8%
EDEK 1.8%
$18,507 Vol.
$18,507 Vol.
DISY
62%
AKEL
39%
ELAM
4%
EDEK
2%
DIKO
<1%
KOSP
<1%
DIPA
<1%
VOLT
<1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
DISY 62%
AKEL 39%
ELAM 3.8%
EDEK 1.8%
$18,507 Vol.
$18,507 Vol.
DISY
62%
AKEL
39%
ELAM
4%
EDEK
2%
DIKO
<1%
KOSP
<1%
DIPA
<1%
VOLT
<1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Market Opened: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including RAI Consultants (April 21) showing AKEL at 21.7% and DISY at 21.3%, alongside averages from PolitPro and Politico placing both near 22%, reflect a razor-thin race for most seats in Cyprus's proportional representation system ahead of the May 24 parliamentary elections. Trader consensus prices DISY as the likely winner due to its slight edge in survey trends and historical incumbency advantages, despite ELAM's steady 13-14% threatening fragmentation. Parliament's unanimous dissolution last week formalized the timeline, while undecided voters (20-25%) and rising support for ALMA and Ámesi Dimokratía heighten uncertainty, with no party projected to secure a majority in the 56-seat House.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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