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Politics·Primaries

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Victor Marx 55%

Barbara Kirkmeyer 27%

Scott Bottoms 19.2%

Will McBride 5.5%

Polymarket

$90,236 Vol.

Victor Marx 55%

Barbara Kirkmeyer 27%

Scott Bottoms 19.2%

Will McBride 5.5%

Polymarket

$90,236 Vol.

Victor Marx

$4,589 Vol.

55%

Barbara Kirkmeyer

$18,828 Vol.

27%

Scott Bottoms

$3,057 Vol.

19%

Will McBride

$28,646 Vol.

6%

Stevan Gess

$3,748 Vol.

3%

Bob Brinkerhoff

$2,008 Vol.

1%

Mark Baisley

$7,815 Vol.

1%

Robert Moore

$3,525 Vol.

<1%

Jason Mikesell

$2,215 Vol.

<1%

Joshua Griffin

$2,073 Vol.

<1%

Greg Lopez

$2,427 Vol.

<1%

Brycen Garrison

$1,606 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Thomas

$1,755 Vol.

<1%

Jason Clark

$1,840 Vol.

<1%

Jon Gray-Ginsberg

$6,105 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Victor Marx leads trader consensus at 54% implied probability in the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary following his strong 39% delegate vote at the April 11 GOP state assembly in Pueblo, securing the second ballot position behind Rep. Scott Bottoms, who earned top-line placement. State Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer's established name recognition and prior petition qualification position her third at 27%, while Bottoms trails at 18.5% despite recent straw poll wins, as traders weigh Marx's grassroots momentum from 28,000 petition signatures and outsider appeal as a ministry founder lacking prior political experience. Upcoming debates on May 26 at the Centennial Institute and June 2 on 9News could shift dynamics ahead of the June 30 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$90,236
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Victor Marx leads trader consensus at 54% implied probability in the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary following his strong 39% delegate vote at the April 11 GOP state assembly in Pueblo, securing the second ballot position behind Rep. Scott Bottoms, who earned top-line placement. State Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer's established name recognition and prior petition qualification position her third at 27%, while Bottoms trails at 18.5% despite recent straw poll wins, as traders weigh Marx's grassroots momentum from 28,000 petition signatures and outsider appeal as a ministry founder lacking prior political experience. Upcoming debates on May 26 at the Centennial Institute and June 2 on 9News could shift dynamics ahead of the June 30 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$90,236
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Victor Marx" at 55%, followed by "Barbara Kirkmeyer" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $90.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Victor Marx" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Barbara Kirkmeyer" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.