Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 91.8% implied probability to win Colorado's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's Democratic lean—evidenced by three consecutive Democratic governors, Biden's 13-point 2020 margin, and Cook Political Report's Solid D rating—bolstered by a competitive primary field led by Attorney General Phil Weiser, who gained momentum via recent TV ads per Colorado Pols' Big Line update on April 30 showing him tied at 50% with Sen. Michael Bennet. Republicans, fragmented after their April 11 state assembly advanced State Rep. Scott Bottoms and ministry leader Victor Marx amid ballot-count issues, trail with no clear frontrunner capable of broad appeal. Challenges could arise from a unified GOP nominee post-June 30 primary, a Democratic scandal, or ballot initiatives like those on school sports and youth medical care driving conservative turnout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedColorado Governor Election Winner
Colorado Governor Election Winner
$10,907 Vol.
$10,907 Vol.

Democrat
92%

Republican
8%
$10,907 Vol.
$10,907 Vol.

Democrat
92%

Republican
8%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 91.8% implied probability to win Colorado's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's Democratic lean—evidenced by three consecutive Democratic governors, Biden's 13-point 2020 margin, and Cook Political Report's Solid D rating—bolstered by a competitive primary field led by Attorney General Phil Weiser, who gained momentum via recent TV ads per Colorado Pols' Big Line update on April 30 showing him tied at 50% with Sen. Michael Bennet. Republicans, fragmented after their April 11 state assembly advanced State Rep. Scott Bottoms and ministry leader Victor Marx amid ballot-count issues, trail with no clear frontrunner capable of broad appeal. Challenges could arise from a unified GOP nominee post-June 30 primary, a Democratic scandal, or ballot initiatives like those on school sports and youth medical care driving conservative turnout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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