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Politics·Primaries

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Victor Marx 54%

Barbara Kirkmeyer 27%

Scott Bottoms 11.0%

Stevan Gess 9.5%

Polymarket

$90,220 Vol.

Victor Marx 54%

Barbara Kirkmeyer 27%

Scott Bottoms 11.0%

Stevan Gess 9.5%

Polymarket

$90,220 Vol.

Victor Marx

$4,626 Vol.

54%

Barbara Kirkmeyer

$18,823 Vol.

27%

Scott Bottoms

$2,952 Vol.

11%

Stevan Gess

$3,743 Vol.

10%

Will McBride

$28,641 Vol.

8%

Robert Moore

$3,520 Vol.

2%

Jason Mikesell

$2,316 Vol.

1%

Mark Baisley

$7,810 Vol.

1%

Bob Brinkerhoff

$1,940 Vol.

<1%

Joshua Griffin

$2,110 Vol.

<1%

Greg Lopez

$2,422 Vol.

<1%

Brycen Garrison

$1,601 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Thomas

$1,750 Vol.

<1%

Jason Clark

$1,867 Vol.

<1%

Jon Gray-Ginsberg

$6,100 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Victor Marx at 54.5% implied probability to win Colorado's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 30, driven by his standout performance at the April 11 state assembly in Pueblo, where he captured 39% of delegates to secure the second ballot position—far exceeding the 10% threshold—signaling strong grassroots and activist support among party insiders. Marx's April 18 announcement of over $2 million raised via small-dollar donations averaging $107 from all 64 counties underscores broad momentum from his volunteer-gathered 28,000+ petition signatures and outsider appeal as a USMC veteran and ministry founder lacking prior elected experience. State Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer's 27% reflects her legislative tenure and earlier petition qualification, while Rep. Scott Bottoms' top ballot line at 10.3% provides a procedural edge despite lagging fundraising. Absent public polls, odds hinge on assembly results as a proxy and campaign indicators in this crowded field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$90,220
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Victor Marx at 54.5% implied probability to win Colorado's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 30, driven by his standout performance at the April 11 state assembly in Pueblo, where he captured 39% of delegates to secure the second ballot position—far exceeding the 10% threshold—signaling strong grassroots and activist support among party insiders. Marx's April 18 announcement of over $2 million raised via small-dollar donations averaging $107 from all 64 counties underscores broad momentum from his volunteer-gathered 28,000+ petition signatures and outsider appeal as a USMC veteran and ministry founder lacking prior elected experience. State Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer's 27% reflects her legislative tenure and earlier petition qualification, while Rep. Scott Bottoms' top ballot line at 10.3% provides a procedural edge despite lagging fundraising. Absent public polls, odds hinge on assembly results as a proxy and campaign indicators in this crowded field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$90,220
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Victor Marx" at 54%, followed by "Barbara Kirkmeyer" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $90.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Victor Marx" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Barbara Kirkmeyer" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.