Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $600 billion at 86.5% implied probability, driven by secondary market valuations exploding past $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global and Jupiter—up over 700% since October 2025—signaling robust skin-in-the-game demand for Claude large language model exposure. This surge follows Anthropic's February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, fueled by annualized revenue tripling to $30 billion amid enterprise adoption and doubled paid users. Recent VC offers topping $900 billion and October 2026 IPO considerations solidify positioning ahead of OpenAI, though 9.5% no-IPO odds reflect risks like market volatility or AI regulatory hurdles; watch for funding closure or S-1 filing catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated600B+ 87%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
400–600B 1.7%
100–200B 1.6%
$291,542 Vol.
$291,542 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
1%
100–200B
2%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
87%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
600B+ 87%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
400–600B 1.7%
100–200B 1.6%
$291,542 Vol.
$291,542 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$137,558 Vol.
1%
100–200B
$52,558 Vol.
2%
200–300B
$8,106 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$59,491 Vol.
1%
400–600B
$8,436 Vol.
2%
600B+
$14,233 Vol.
87%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$11,160 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $600 billion at 86.5% implied probability, driven by secondary market valuations exploding past $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global and Jupiter—up over 700% since October 2025—signaling robust skin-in-the-game demand for Claude large language model exposure. This surge follows Anthropic's February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, fueled by annualized revenue tripling to $30 billion amid enterprise adoption and doubled paid users. Recent VC offers topping $900 billion and October 2026 IPO considerations solidify positioning ahead of OpenAI, though 9.5% no-IPO odds reflect risks like market volatility or AI regulatory hurdles; watch for funding closure or S-1 filing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$291,542End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $600 billion at 86.5% implied probability, driven by secondary market valuations exploding past $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global and Jupiter—up over 700% since October 2025—signaling robust skin-in-the-game demand for Claude large language model exposure. This surge follows Anthropic's February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, fueled by annualized revenue tripling to $30 billion amid enterprise adoption and doubled paid users. Recent VC offers topping $900 billion and October 2026 IPO considerations solidify positioning ahead of OpenAI, though 9.5% no-IPO odds reflect risks like market volatility or AI regulatory hurdles; watch for funding closure or S-1 filing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$291,542End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $600 billion at 86.5% implied probability, driven by secondary market valuations exploding past $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global and Jupiter—up over 700% since October 2025—signaling robust skin-in-the-game demand for Claude large language model exposure. This surge follows Anthropic's February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, fueled by annualized revenue tripling to $30 billion amid enterprise adoption and doubled paid users. Recent VC offers topping $900 billion and October 2026 IPO considerations solidify positioning ahead of OpenAI, though 9.5% no-IPO odds reflect risks like market volatility or AI regulatory hurdles; watch for funding closure or S-1 filing catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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