Incumbent Republican Riley Moore commands 93% trader consensus to retain WV-02 in the November 3 general election, anchored by the district's deep Republican tilt (R+22 partisan voting index) and his comfortable 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. With May 12 primaries days away, Moore faces minimal GOP opposition while three Democrats—lacking name recognition or fundraising—compete for a nomination in a historically unwinnable seat for their party. This reflects incumbency advantages and base rates for safe House districts, undeterred by recent statewide generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by 10 points. Upsets could stem from a surprise GOP primary loss, Moore scandal, or unprecedented midterm turnout wave.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes del WV-02
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes del WV-02
$59,009 Vol.
$59,009 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$59,009 Vol.
$59,009 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$38,224 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$20,785 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore commands 93% trader consensus to retain WV-02 in the November 3 general election, anchored by the district's deep Republican tilt (R+22 partisan voting index) and his comfortable 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. With May 12 primaries days away, Moore faces minimal GOP opposition while three Democrats—lacking name recognition or fundraising—compete for a nomination in a historically unwinnable seat for their party. This reflects incumbency advantages and base rates for safe House districts, undeterred by recent statewide generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by 10 points. Upsets could stem from a surprise GOP primary loss, Moore scandal, or unprecedented midterm turnout wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$59,009Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore commands 93% trader consensus to retain WV-02 in the November 3 general election, anchored by the district's deep Republican tilt (R+22 partisan voting index) and his comfortable 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. With May 12 primaries days away, Moore faces minimal GOP opposition while three Democrats—lacking name recognition or fundraising—compete for a nomination in a historically unwinnable seat for their party. This reflects incumbency advantages and base rates for safe House districts, undeterred by recent statewide generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by 10 points. Upsets could stem from a surprise GOP primary loss, Moore scandal, or unprecedented midterm turnout wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$59,009Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Riley Moore commands 93% trader consensus to retain WV-02 in the November 3 general election, anchored by the district's deep Republican tilt (R+22 partisan voting index) and his comfortable 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. With May 12 primaries days away, Moore faces minimal GOP opposition while three Democrats—lacking name recognition or fundraising—compete for a nomination in a historically unwinnable seat for their party. This reflects incumbency advantages and base rates for safe House districts, undeterred by recent statewide generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by 10 points. Upsets could stem from a surprise GOP primary loss, Moore scandal, or unprecedented midterm turnout wave.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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