Republican control of the House, with approximately 219 seats to Democrats' 212 in the 119th Congress, presents a formidable barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority that GOP loyalty to President Trump renders improbable absent major defections. Recent Democratic efforts, including impeachment articles filed by Rep. John Larson (H.Res. 353, 939, and 1155) in April 2026 and Rep. Jamie Raskin's briefings on removal options, have generated headlines but faced swift dismissal from party leadership wary of midterm distractions, with no floor votes scheduled. Traders' 87% consensus on "No" reflects this structural reality and low conviction odds in a GOP-led Senate, even if midterms flip the House in November 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Gana un 4%
Sí
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Gana un 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with approximately 219 seats to Democrats' 212 in the 119th Congress, presents a formidable barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority that GOP loyalty to President Trump renders improbable absent major defections. Recent Democratic efforts, including impeachment articles filed by Rep. John Larson (H.Res. 353, 939, and 1155) in April 2026 and Rep. Jamie Raskin's briefings on removal options, have generated headlines but faced swift dismissal from party leadership wary of midterm distractions, with no floor votes scheduled. Traders' 87% consensus on "No" reflects this structural reality and low conviction odds in a GOP-led Senate, even if midterms flip the House in November 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volumen
$709,151Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with approximately 219 seats to Democrats' 212 in the 119th Congress, presents a formidable barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority that GOP loyalty to President Trump renders improbable absent major defections. Recent Democratic efforts, including impeachment articles filed by Rep. John Larson (H.Res. 353, 939, and 1155) in April 2026 and Rep. Jamie Raskin's briefings on removal options, have generated headlines but faced swift dismissal from party leadership wary of midterm distractions, with no floor votes scheduled. Traders' 87% consensus on "No" reflects this structural reality and low conviction odds in a GOP-led Senate, even if midterms flip the House in November 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$709,151Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of the House, with approximately 219 seats to Democrats' 212 in the 119th Congress, presents a formidable barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority that GOP loyalty to President Trump renders improbable absent major defections. Recent Democratic efforts, including impeachment articles filed by Rep. John Larson (H.Res. 353, 939, and 1155) in April 2026 and Rep. Jamie Raskin's briefings on removal options, have generated headlines but faced swift dismissal from party leadership wary of midterm distractions, with no floor votes scheduled. Traders' 87% consensus on "No" reflects this structural reality and low conviction odds in a GOP-led Senate, even if midterms flip the House in November 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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