Recent polls place President Trump's job approval rating at around 39% on average, with trader consensus on Polymarket reflecting this tight clustering below 40% as of late April data from outlets like Nate Silver's bulletin (39% approve), Reuters/Ipsos (34%), and Emerson College (40%). The downward pressure stems from escalating U.S. military actions in the Iran war, which have spiked gas prices and fueled voter concerns over the economy, pushing net approval to second-term lows near -19 points per New York Times and CNBC surveys conducted through April 30. This volatility keeps bins like <39.0% and 39.0–39.4% closely matched, as short-term polling swings, partisan gaps, and potential de-escalation signals or economic data releases before May 8 could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTrump approval rating on May 8?
Trump approval rating on May 8?
<39.0 50%
39.0–39.4 29%
40.5–40.9 26%
39.5–39.9 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
<39.0
35%
39.0–39.4
29%
39.5–39.9
26%
40.0–40.4
24%
40.5–40.9
26%
41.0+
12%
<39.0 50%
39.0–39.4 29%
40.5–40.9 26%
39.5–39.9 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
<39.0
$4 Vol.
35%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
29%
39.5–39.9
$0 Vol.
26%
40.0–40.4
$0 Vol.
24%
40.5–40.9
$0 Vol.
26%
41.0+
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 8, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval rating at around 39% on average, with trader consensus on Polymarket reflecting this tight clustering below 40% as of late April data from outlets like Nate Silver's bulletin (39% approve), Reuters/Ipsos (34%), and Emerson College (40%). The downward pressure stems from escalating U.S. military actions in the Iran war, which have spiked gas prices and fueled voter concerns over the economy, pushing net approval to second-term lows near -19 points per New York Times and CNBC surveys conducted through April 30. This volatility keeps bins like <39.0% and 39.0–39.4% closely matched, as short-term polling swings, partisan gaps, and potential de-escalation signals or economic data releases before May 8 could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 8, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volumen
$4Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 8, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval rating at around 39% on average, with trader consensus on Polymarket reflecting this tight clustering below 40% as of late April data from outlets like Nate Silver's bulletin (39% approve), Reuters/Ipsos (34%), and Emerson College (40%). The downward pressure stems from escalating U.S. military actions in the Iran war, which have spiked gas prices and fueled voter concerns over the economy, pushing net approval to second-term lows near -19 points per New York Times and CNBC surveys conducted through April 30. This volatility keeps bins like <39.0% and 39.0–39.4% closely matched, as short-term polling swings, partisan gaps, and potential de-escalation signals or economic data releases before May 8 could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 8, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$4Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place President Trump's job approval rating at around 39% on average, with trader consensus on Polymarket reflecting this tight clustering below 40% as of late April data from outlets like Nate Silver's bulletin (39% approve), Reuters/Ipsos (34%), and Emerson College (40%). The downward pressure stems from escalating U.S. military actions in the Iran war, which have spiked gas prices and fueled voter concerns over the economy, pushing net approval to second-term lows near -19 points per New York Times and CNBC surveys conducted through April 30. This volatility keeps bins like <39.0% and 39.0–39.4% closely matched, as short-term polling swings, partisan gaps, and potential de-escalation signals or economic data releases before May 8 could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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