Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an overwhelming 81.8% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, reflecting his steady ~35 posts-per-day pace anchored by resolved short-term markets like April 27-29's 59 posts and April 3-10's 241. Recent spikes—78 posts on April 25 amid viral threads, 56 on April 27 as his OpenAI trial kicked off, and continued activity during April 28 testimony—have solidified this frontrunner status, outpacing the 17% on 1000-1039 amid quieter spells. SpaceX Falcon successes and platform upgrades fueled late-month engagement, with traders eyeing April 30's final hours for any breakout surge, though historical patterns suggest minimal variance in his prolific social media rhythm.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1040-1079 85.9%
1000-1039 16.2%
1080-1119 <1%
1120-1159 <1%
$12,975,413 Vol.
$12,975,413 Vol.
1 may 2026
960-999
<1%
1000-1039
16%
1040-1079
86%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1040-1079 85.9%
1000-1039 16.2%
1080-1119 <1%
1120-1159 <1%
$12,975,413 Vol.
$12,975,413 Vol.
1 may 2026
960-999
$215,085 Vol.
<1%
1000-1039
$283,614 Vol.
16%
1040-1079
$527,570 Vol.
86%
1080-1119
$481,953 Vol.
1%
1120-1159
$531,196 Vol.
<1%
1160-1199
$995,011 Vol.
<1%
1200-1239
$468,621 Vol.
<1%
1240-1279
$195,926 Vol.
<1%
1280-1319
$221,231 Vol.
<1%
1320-1359
$319,422 Vol.
<1%
1360-1399
$257,619 Vol.
<1%
1400-1439
$586,275 Vol.
<1%
1440-1479
$128,082 Vol.
<1%
1480-1519
$113,493 Vol.
<1%
1520-1559
$122,350 Vol.
<1%
1560-1599
$141,320 Vol.
<1%
1600-1679
$126,227 Vol.
<1%
1680-1759
$172,510 Vol.
<1%
1760-1839
$126,672 Vol.
<1%
1840-1919
$177,380 Vol.
<1%
1920-1999
$55,805 Vol.
<1%
2000+
$47,173 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an overwhelming 81.8% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, reflecting his steady ~35 posts-per-day pace anchored by resolved short-term markets like April 27-29's 59 posts and April 3-10's 241. Recent spikes—78 posts on April 25 amid viral threads, 56 on April 27 as his OpenAI trial kicked off, and continued activity during April 28 testimony—have solidified this frontrunner status, outpacing the 17% on 1000-1039 amid quieter spells. SpaceX Falcon successes and platform upgrades fueled late-month engagement, with traders eyeing April 30's final hours for any breakout surge, though historical patterns suggest minimal variance in his prolific social media rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$12,975,413Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an overwhelming 81.8% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, reflecting his steady ~35 posts-per-day pace anchored by resolved short-term markets like April 27-29's 59 posts and April 3-10's 241. Recent spikes—78 posts on April 25 amid viral threads, 56 on April 27 as his OpenAI trial kicked off, and continued activity during April 28 testimony—have solidified this frontrunner status, outpacing the 17% on 1000-1039 amid quieter spells. SpaceX Falcon successes and platform upgrades fueled late-month engagement, with traders eyeing April 30's final hours for any breakout surge, though historical patterns suggest minimal variance in his prolific social media rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$12,975,413Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an overwhelming 81.8% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, reflecting his steady ~35 posts-per-day pace anchored by resolved short-term markets like April 27-29's 59 posts and April 3-10's 241. Recent spikes—78 posts on April 25 amid viral threads, 56 on April 27 as his OpenAI trial kicked off, and continued activity during April 28 testimony—have solidified this frontrunner status, outpacing the 17% on 1000-1039 amid quieter spells. SpaceX Falcon successes and platform upgrades fueled late-month engagement, with traders eyeing April 30's final hours for any breakout surge, though historical patterns suggest minimal variance in his prolific social media rhythm.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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