Skip to main content
icon for ¿Rubén Rocha como gobernador de Sinaloa para el 31 de mayo?
Política·Extraditar

¿Rubén Rocha como gobernador de Sinaloa para el 31 de mayo?

icon for ¿Rubén Rocha como gobernador de Sinaloa para el 31 de mayo?
Política·Extraditar

¿Rubén Rocha como gobernador de Sinaloa para el 31 de mayo?

Sí

45% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

45% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. U.S. prosecutors unsealed an indictment on April 29 charging Sinaloa Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with drug trafficking and weapons offenses tied to the Sinaloa Cartel, alleging pre-2021 election pacts with Chapitos leaders for protection and support. Rocha denies the claims as politically motivated, vows to continue governing, and faces no immediate removal after Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum questioned evidence sufficiency while directing the FGR to investigate a U.S. extradition request. With Morena's congressional support in Sinaloa and gubernatorial impeachment requiring supermajority votes amid sovereignty tensions, traders price a 72.5% "No" probability, viewing procedural hurdles and lack of resignation signals as barring ouster by May 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,049
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. U.S. prosecutors unsealed an indictment on April 29 charging Sinaloa Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with drug trafficking and weapons offenses tied to the Sinaloa Cartel, alleging pre-2021 election pacts with Chapitos leaders for protection and support. Rocha denies the claims as politically motivated, vows to continue governing, and faces no immediate removal after Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum questioned evidence sufficiency while directing the FGR to investigate a U.S. extradition request. With Morena's congressional support in Sinaloa and gubernatorial impeachment requiring supermajority votes amid sovereignty tensions, traders price a 72.5% "No" probability, viewing procedural hurdles and lack of resignation signals as barring ouster by May 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,049
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Rubén Rocha como gobernador de Sinaloa para el 31 de mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Ruben Rocha fuera como gobernador de Sinaloa antes del 31 de mayo?" con 45%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Rubén Rocha como gobernador de Sinaloa para el 31 de mayo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Rubén Rocha como gobernador de Sinaloa para el 31 de mayo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Rubén Rocha como gobernador de Sinaloa para el 31 de mayo?" es "¿Ruben Rocha fuera como gobernador de Sinaloa antes del 31 de mayo?" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Rubén Rocha como gobernador de Sinaloa para el 31 de mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.