Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 leading at 18.1% implied probability, driven by his recent weekly averages of 150-180 posts amid steady cultural buzz from politics, SpaceX updates, and platform enhancements. As of April 30, 18 posts mark 29% time progress— a moderate early pace of roughly nine daily—but traders expect the familiar ramp-up from replies to viral memes and business announcements, as seen in prior weeks like April 24-May 1's 158 total. Competitive dynamics hinge on swing factors like the May 1 Starlink launch or surprise threads on Grok/Tesla, which could push toward 200+ or stall below 140 if focus shifts offline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado180-199 18.9%
160-179 17.6%
140-159 14.8%
200-219 13%
$3,125,789 Vol.
$3,125,789 Vol.
5 may 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
4%
100-119
7%
120-139
10%
140-159
15%
160-179
18%
180-199
19%
200-219
13%
220-239
7%
240-259
6%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 18.9%
160-179 17.6%
140-159 14.8%
200-219 13%
$3,125,789 Vol.
$3,125,789 Vol.
5 may 2026
<20
$248,201 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$104,457 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$148,606 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$262,051 Vol.
1%
80-99
$271,539 Vol.
4%
100-119
$151,368 Vol.
7%
120-139
$137,402 Vol.
10%
140-159
$134,888 Vol.
15%
160-179
$129,166 Vol.
18%
180-199
$96,858 Vol.
19%
200-219
$72,235 Vol.
13%
220-239
$76,018 Vol.
7%
240-259
$73,776 Vol.
6%
260-279
$66,005 Vol.
2%
280-299
$76,182 Vol.
1%
300-319
$69,945 Vol.
1%
320-339
$77,015 Vol.
1%
340-359
$89,219 Vol.
1%
360-379
$80,117 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$126,650 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$108,866 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$88,113 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$113,456 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$111,028 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$116,123 Vol.
<1%
500+
$123,180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 leading at 18.1% implied probability, driven by his recent weekly averages of 150-180 posts amid steady cultural buzz from politics, SpaceX updates, and platform enhancements. As of April 30, 18 posts mark 29% time progress— a moderate early pace of roughly nine daily—but traders expect the familiar ramp-up from replies to viral memes and business announcements, as seen in prior weeks like April 24-May 1's 158 total. Competitive dynamics hinge on swing factors like the May 1 Starlink launch or surprise threads on Grok/Tesla, which could push toward 200+ or stall below 140 if focus shifts offline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$3,125,789Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 leading at 18.1% implied probability, driven by his recent weekly averages of 150-180 posts amid steady cultural buzz from politics, SpaceX updates, and platform enhancements. As of April 30, 18 posts mark 29% time progress— a moderate early pace of roughly nine daily—but traders expect the familiar ramp-up from replies to viral memes and business announcements, as seen in prior weeks like April 24-May 1's 158 total. Competitive dynamics hinge on swing factors like the May 1 Starlink launch or surprise threads on Grok/Tesla, which could push toward 200+ or stall below 140 if focus shifts offline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$3,125,789Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 leading at 18.1% implied probability, driven by his recent weekly averages of 150-180 posts amid steady cultural buzz from politics, SpaceX updates, and platform enhancements. As of April 30, 18 posts mark 29% time progress— a moderate early pace of roughly nine daily—but traders expect the familiar ramp-up from replies to viral memes and business announcements, as seen in prior weeks like April 24-May 1's 158 total. Competitive dynamics hinge on swing factors like the May 1 Starlink launch or surprise threads on Grok/Tesla, which could push toward 200+ or stall below 140 if focus shifts offline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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