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icon for ¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de abril?

¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de abril?

icon for ¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de abril?

¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de abril?

abr 30

abr 30

$498,574 Vol.

30 abr 2026
Polymarket

$498,574 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$72,173 Vol.

1%

↑ $4.75

$47,689 Vol.

1%

↑ $4.50

$42,952 Vol.

1%

↓ $3.95

$21,868 Vol.

1%

↓ $3.85

$18,854 Vol.

<1%

↓ $3.75

$11,389 Vol.

<1%

↓ $3.50

$4,799 Vol.

<1%

↓ $3.25

$2,604 Vol.

<1%

↓ $3.00

$7,266 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average gasoline prices have surged to $4.30 per gallon as of April 30 per AAA data, the highest in four years, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that began in late February 2026 with US and Israeli strikes disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude oil recently topped $125 per barrel amid fragile ceasefire talks and supply fears, compounded by US refinery outages and seasonal summer demand buildup. Prices climbed over 40% year-to-date, with weekly EIA reports showing consistent gains through April 27. Market resolution hinges on whether daily national averages from AAA or EIA met specified thresholds on any day by today; potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases or de-escalation could temper further rises, though volatility persists.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$498,574
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average gasoline prices have surged to $4.30 per gallon as of April 30 per AAA data, the highest in four years, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that began in late February 2026 with US and Israeli strikes disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude oil recently topped $125 per barrel amid fragile ceasefire talks and supply fears, compounded by US refinery outages and seasonal summer demand buildup. Prices climbed over 40% year-to-date, with weekly EIA reports showing consistent gains through April 27. Market resolution hinges on whether daily national averages from AAA or EIA met specified thresholds on any day by today; potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases or de-escalation could temper further rises, though volatility persists.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$498,574
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "↑ $4.25" con 100%, seguido de "↑ $4.15" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de abril?" ha generado $498.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 31, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de abril?", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de abril?" es "↑ $4.25" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "↑ $4.15" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.