Trader consensus heavily favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 83.5%, reflecting stalled negotiations after mid-April talks in Islamabad collapsed without agreement on key issues like Strait of Hormuz access, uranium enrichment limits, and sanctions relief. Iran's top negotiator stated on April 18 that no date is set for the next round, a position echoed amid ceasefire extensions and mutual accusations of violations, including US blockade threats. Late April efforts, including canceled high-level trips by US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, underscore deep divisions, with Tehran rejecting direct talks. While unannounced breakthroughs remain possible via mediators like Pakistan or Oman, persistent red lines and lack of scheduled diplomacy maintain high barriers to near-term progress.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNext US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?
No Meeting before May 11 84%
May 10 5.3%
May 5 4.2%
May 9 2.0%
$1,310,716 Vol.
$1,310,716 Vol.
10 may 2026
May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
1%
May 4
1%
May 5
4%
May 6
1%
May 7
1%
May 8
1%
May 9
2%
May 10
5%
No Meeting before May 11
84%
No Meeting before May 11 84%
May 10 5.3%
May 5 4.2%
May 9 2.0%
$1,310,716 Vol.
$1,310,716 Vol.
10 may 2026
May 1
$35,299 Vol.
<1%
May 2
$30,889 Vol.
<1%
May 3
$25,283 Vol.
1%
May 4
$31,628 Vol.
1%
May 5
$28,076 Vol.
4%
May 6
$26,279 Vol.
1%
May 7
$25,891 Vol.
1%
May 8
$24,077 Vol.
1%
May 9
$27,202 Vol.
2%
May 10
$43,440 Vol.
5%
No Meeting before May 11
$387,775 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 83.5%, reflecting stalled negotiations after mid-April talks in Islamabad collapsed without agreement on key issues like Strait of Hormuz access, uranium enrichment limits, and sanctions relief. Iran's top negotiator stated on April 18 that no date is set for the next round, a position echoed amid ceasefire extensions and mutual accusations of violations, including US blockade threats. Late April efforts, including canceled high-level trips by US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, underscore deep divisions, with Tehran rejecting direct talks. While unannounced breakthroughs remain possible via mediators like Pakistan or Oman, persistent red lines and lack of scheduled diplomacy maintain high barriers to near-term progress.
This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 7:19 PM ET
Volumen
$1,310,716Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 83.5%, reflecting stalled negotiations after mid-April talks in Islamabad collapsed without agreement on key issues like Strait of Hormuz access, uranium enrichment limits, and sanctions relief. Iran's top negotiator stated on April 18 that no date is set for the next round, a position echoed amid ceasefire extensions and mutual accusations of violations, including US blockade threats. Late April efforts, including canceled high-level trips by US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, underscore deep divisions, with Tehran rejecting direct talks. While unannounced breakthroughs remain possible via mediators like Pakistan or Oman, persistent red lines and lack of scheduled diplomacy maintain high barriers to near-term progress.
This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,310,716Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 83.5%, reflecting stalled negotiations after mid-April talks in Islamabad collapsed without agreement on key issues like Strait of Hormuz access, uranium enrichment limits, and sanctions relief. Iran's top negotiator stated on April 18 that no date is set for the next round, a position echoed amid ceasefire extensions and mutual accusations of violations, including US blockade threats. Late April efforts, including canceled high-level trips by US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, underscore deep divisions, with Tehran rejecting direct talks. While unannounced breakthroughs remain possible via mediators like Pakistan or Oman, persistent red lines and lack of scheduled diplomacy maintain high barriers to near-term progress.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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