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Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

icon for Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

77% probabilidad
Polymarket

$55,219 Vol.

77% probabilidad
Polymarket

$55,219 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran secured automatic qualification for the 2026 FIFA World Cup through dominant performances in AFC third-round qualifiers, topping their group with strong wins including over North Korea, positioning them firmly in Group G alongside Egypt, Belgium, and New Zealand—all matches scheduled in the United States. However, trader consensus at 76% yes reflects geopolitical tensions, as Iran's soccer federation cited safety concerns and visa issues amid US diplomatic strains, skipping recent FIFA Congress in Vancouver and cancelling warm-up friendlies while requesting venue shifts to Mexico, requests firmly rejected by FIFA President Gianni Infantino, who reaffirmed their participation. With the tournament starting in June, official assurances and no expulsion threats sustain high yes odds despite boycott speculation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$55,219
Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran secured automatic qualification for the 2026 FIFA World Cup through dominant performances in AFC third-round qualifiers, topping their group with strong wins including over North Korea, positioning them firmly in Group G alongside Egypt, Belgium, and New Zealand—all matches scheduled in the United States. However, trader consensus at 76% yes reflects geopolitical tensions, as Iran's soccer federation cited safety concerns and visa issues amid US diplomatic strains, skipping recent FIFA Congress in Vancouver and cancelling warm-up friendlies while requesting venue shifts to Mexico, requests firmly rejected by FIFA President Gianni Infantino, who reaffirmed their participation. With the tournament starting in June, official assurances and no expulsion threats sustain high yes odds despite boycott speculation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$55,408
Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 77% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 77¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 77% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" ha generado $55.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" es 77% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 77% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.