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icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
Geopolítica·Irán

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
Geopolítica·Irán

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

7% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
7% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth remains firmly in his role, testifying before the House and Senate Armed Services Committees on April 29-30, 2026, defending a proposed $1.5 trillion Pentagon budget amid the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran. Despite bipartisan scrutiny over his recent firings—including Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George, Navy Secretary John Phelan, and other top officers—along with reports of internal Pentagon turmoil and eroding GOP Senate confidence, no official statements indicate resignation or presidential dismissal. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects the absence of imminent catalysts for removal by May 31, bolstered by his ongoing leadership on high-stakes national security priorities and historical patterns of Trump administration loyalty to controversial cabinet picks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,986
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth remains firmly in his role, testifying before the House and Senate Armed Services Committees on April 29-30, 2026, defending a proposed $1.5 trillion Pentagon budget amid the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran. Despite bipartisan scrutiny over his recent firings—including Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George, Navy Secretary John Phelan, and other top officers—along with reports of internal Pentagon turmoil and eroding GOP Senate confidence, no official statements indicate resignation or presidential dismissal. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects the absence of imminent catalysts for removal by May 31, bolstered by his ongoing leadership on high-stakes national security priorities and historical patterns of Trump administration loyalty to controversial cabinet picks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,986
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 7% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 7¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 7% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?" es 7% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 7% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.