Senate Republicans blocked Democrats' sixth Iran war powers resolution on April 30, marking the latest in a series of party-line defeats that have repeatedly stalled efforts to curb President Trump's military operations against Iran under the 1973 War Powers Resolution. With the 60-day statutory clock for unauthorized hostilities expiring around May 1—despite Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's claim that a recent ceasefire pauses it—GOP majorities in both chambers have sustained vetoes or narrow rejections, as seen in prior House votes failing 213-214. This entrenched partisan divide, with minimal bipartisan support beyond outliers like Sens. Collins and Paul, drives trader consensus toward an 83.5% implied probability of no passage by May 31, absent a major shift like new escalations or negotiations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Senate Republicans blocked Democrats' sixth Iran war powers resolution on April 30, marking the latest in a series of party-line defeats that have repeatedly stalled efforts to curb President Trump's military operations against Iran under the 1973 War Powers Resolution. With the 60-day statutory clock for unauthorized hostilities expiring around May 1—despite Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's claim that a recent ceasefire pauses it—GOP majorities in both chambers have sustained vetoes or narrow rejections, as seen in prior House votes failing 213-214. This entrenched partisan divide, with minimal bipartisan support beyond outliers like Sens. Collins and Paul, drives trader consensus toward an 83.5% implied probability of no passage by May 31, absent a major shift like new escalations or negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volumen
$359Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Senate Republicans blocked Democrats' sixth Iran war powers resolution on April 30, marking the latest in a series of party-line defeats that have repeatedly stalled efforts to curb President Trump's military operations against Iran under the 1973 War Powers Resolution. With the 60-day statutory clock for unauthorized hostilities expiring around May 1—despite Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's claim that a recent ceasefire pauses it—GOP majorities in both chambers have sustained vetoes or narrow rejections, as seen in prior House votes failing 213-214. This entrenched partisan divide, with minimal bipartisan support beyond outliers like Sens. Collins and Paul, drives trader consensus toward an 83.5% implied probability of no passage by May 31, absent a major shift like new escalations or negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$359Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senate Republicans blocked Democrats' sixth Iran war powers resolution on April 30, marking the latest in a series of party-line defeats that have repeatedly stalled efforts to curb President Trump's military operations against Iran under the 1973 War Powers Resolution. With the 60-day statutory clock for unauthorized hostilities expiring around May 1—despite Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's claim that a recent ceasefire pauses it—GOP majorities in both chambers have sustained vetoes or narrow rejections, as seen in prior House votes failing 213-214. This entrenched partisan divide, with minimal bipartisan support beyond outliers like Sens. Collins and Paul, drives trader consensus toward an 83.5% implied probability of no passage by May 31, absent a major shift like new escalations or negotiations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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