Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in deep-blue Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District (Cook PVI D+21), anchored by Dane County's liberal stronghold around Madison, where he has won reelection comfortably since 2013. Recent Democratic dominance in the April 7 state Supreme Court race, with Chris Taylor's 20-point landslide victory expanding the liberal majority, underscores strong voter intensity favoring liberals ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. No Republican candidate has emerged ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, per Cook Political Report's Solid Democrat rating. Trader consensus at 95% implies minimal upset risk, though a well-funded GOP challenger, Pocan scandal, or national midterm Republican wave could shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWI-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WI-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$88,397 Vol.
$88,397 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$88,397 Vol.
$88,397 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$52,954 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$35,444 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in deep-blue Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District (Cook PVI D+21), anchored by Dane County's liberal stronghold around Madison, where he has won reelection comfortably since 2013. Recent Democratic dominance in the April 7 state Supreme Court race, with Chris Taylor's 20-point landslide victory expanding the liberal majority, underscores strong voter intensity favoring liberals ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. No Republican candidate has emerged ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, per Cook Political Report's Solid Democrat rating. Trader consensus at 95% implies minimal upset risk, though a well-funded GOP challenger, Pocan scandal, or national midterm Republican wave could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$88,397Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in deep-blue Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District (Cook PVI D+21), anchored by Dane County's liberal stronghold around Madison, where he has won reelection comfortably since 2013. Recent Democratic dominance in the April 7 state Supreme Court race, with Chris Taylor's 20-point landslide victory expanding the liberal majority, underscores strong voter intensity favoring liberals ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. No Republican candidate has emerged ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, per Cook Political Report's Solid Democrat rating. Trader consensus at 95% implies minimal upset risk, though a well-funded GOP challenger, Pocan scandal, or national midterm Republican wave could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$88,397Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in deep-blue Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District (Cook PVI D+21), anchored by Dane County's liberal stronghold around Madison, where he has won reelection comfortably since 2013. Recent Democratic dominance in the April 7 state Supreme Court race, with Chris Taylor's 20-point landslide victory expanding the liberal majority, underscores strong voter intensity favoring liberals ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election. No Republican candidate has emerged ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, per Cook Political Report's Solid Democrat rating. Trader consensus at 95% implies minimal upset risk, though a well-funded GOP challenger, Pocan scandal, or national midterm Republican wave could shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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