Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's decisive Republican primary win on March 3, 2026—securing 81% of the vote against challenger Mark Newgent—has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 86% in this R+10 district, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed, signaling limited opposition firepower in a seat where Self previously won general elections by 24-25 point margins amid strong suburban Collin and Dallas County support. No polls or major developments since the primaries have emerged to challenge these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in battleground areas.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTX-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TX-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$13,434 Vol.
$13,434 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Demócrata
12%
$13,434 Vol.
$13,434 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,509 Vol.
87%
Partido Demócrata
$5,925 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's decisive Republican primary win on March 3, 2026—securing 81% of the vote against challenger Mark Newgent—has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 86% in this R+10 district, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed, signaling limited opposition firepower in a seat where Self previously won general elections by 24-25 point margins amid strong suburban Collin and Dallas County support. No polls or major developments since the primaries have emerged to challenge these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in battleground areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$13,434Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's decisive Republican primary win on March 3, 2026—securing 81% of the vote against challenger Mark Newgent—has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 86% in this R+10 district, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed, signaling limited opposition firepower in a seat where Self previously won general elections by 24-25 point margins amid strong suburban Collin and Dallas County support. No polls or major developments since the primaries have emerged to challenge these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in battleground areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,434Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Keith Self's decisive Republican primary win on March 3, 2026—securing 81% of the vote against challenger Mark Newgent—has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 86% in this R+10 district, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed, signaling limited opposition firepower in a seat where Self previously won general elections by 24-25 point margins amid strong suburban Collin and Dallas County support. No polls or major developments since the primaries have emerged to challenge these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in battleground areas.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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