Recent opinion polls through late May show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32-34 percent, while the Sweden Democrats hold a narrow but consistent edge over the Moderates at roughly 19-20 percent versus 17-19 percent. This gap underpins trader consensus favoring the Sweden Democrats for second place in the September 13 election. The current right-leaning government configuration, with Moderates leading a coalition backed by Sweden Democrats support, has not produced measurable shifts in these relative standings over the past month. No major campaign events or policy developments have altered the polling trajectory in recent weeks, leaving the second-place outcome sensitive to any late momentum between the two right-of-center parties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSweden Democrats (SD) 72%
Moderate Party (M) 43%
Liberals (L) 28.3%
Left Party (V) 14.7%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
24%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
52%

Moderate Party (M)
41%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
15%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
28%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 72%
Moderate Party (M) 43%
Liberals (L) 28.3%
Left Party (V) 14.7%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
24%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
52%

Moderate Party (M)
41%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
15%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
28%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls through late May show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32-34 percent, while the Sweden Democrats hold a narrow but consistent edge over the Moderates at roughly 19-20 percent versus 17-19 percent. This gap underpins trader consensus favoring the Sweden Democrats for second place in the September 13 election. The current right-leaning government configuration, with Moderates leading a coalition backed by Sweden Democrats support, has not produced measurable shifts in these relative standings over the past month. No major campaign events or policy developments have altered the polling trajectory in recent weeks, leaving the second-place outcome sensitive to any late momentum between the two right-of-center parties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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