Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, outpacing the 2.4-2.6% bin at 25%, driven by geopolitical tensions escalating energy costs amid the U.S.-Iran conflict and oil shocks. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.4% forecast—while core inflation eased to 2.2%, prompting the Bank of Korea to hold its policy rate at 2.50% on April 10 in a data-dependent stance signaling mid-to-high 2% inflation risks. IMF upgraded its 2026 forecast to 2.5% and AMRO to 2.3%, citing global commodity pressures, though sub-2% GDP growth tempers upside; April CPI data due early May could catalyze shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3,0%+ 50%
2,4% a 2,6% 22.8%
2,7% a 2,9% 19.6%
1,5% a 1,7% 7%
$11,056 Vol.
$11,056 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
6%
1,5% a 1,7%
7%
1,8% a 2,0%
18%
2,1% a 2,3%
17%
2,4% a 2,6%
23%
2,7% a 2,9%
20%
3,0%+
50%
3,0%+ 50%
2,4% a 2,6% 22.8%
2,7% a 2,9% 19.6%
1,5% a 1,7% 7%
$11,056 Vol.
$11,056 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
$1,136 Vol.
6%
1,5% a 1,7%
$959 Vol.
7%
1,8% a 2,0%
$108 Vol.
18%
2,1% a 2,3%
$159 Vol.
17%
2,4% a 2,6%
$143 Vol.
23%
2,7% a 2,9%
$134 Vol.
20%
3,0%+
$8,418 Vol.
50%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, outpacing the 2.4-2.6% bin at 25%, driven by geopolitical tensions escalating energy costs amid the U.S.-Iran conflict and oil shocks. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.4% forecast—while core inflation eased to 2.2%, prompting the Bank of Korea to hold its policy rate at 2.50% on April 10 in a data-dependent stance signaling mid-to-high 2% inflation risks. IMF upgraded its 2026 forecast to 2.5% and AMRO to 2.3%, citing global commodity pressures, though sub-2% GDP growth tempers upside; April CPI data due early May could catalyze shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$11,056Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, outpacing the 2.4-2.6% bin at 25%, driven by geopolitical tensions escalating energy costs amid the U.S.-Iran conflict and oil shocks. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.4% forecast—while core inflation eased to 2.2%, prompting the Bank of Korea to hold its policy rate at 2.50% on April 10 in a data-dependent stance signaling mid-to-high 2% inflation risks. IMF upgraded its 2026 forecast to 2.5% and AMRO to 2.3%, citing global commodity pressures, though sub-2% GDP growth tempers upside; April CPI data due early May could catalyze shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$11,056Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, outpacing the 2.4-2.6% bin at 25%, driven by geopolitical tensions escalating energy costs amid the U.S.-Iran conflict and oil shocks. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.4% forecast—while core inflation eased to 2.2%, prompting the Bank of Korea to hold its policy rate at 2.50% on April 10 in a data-dependent stance signaling mid-to-high 2% inflation risks. IMF upgraded its 2026 forecast to 2.5% and AMRO to 2.3%, citing global commodity pressures, though sub-2% GDP growth tempers upside; April CPI data due early May could catalyze shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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