Polymarket traders price an 87% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 27 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's unanimous April 8 consensus hold at 2.25% amid sticky inflation pressures and subdued growth. March 2026 quarter CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year—unchanged from prior and hotter than the 2.9% consensus forecast—sustaining a restrictive stance within the 1-3% target band, while December 2025 GDP grew just 0.2%, tempering cut odds at 0.3%. Hawkish tail risk at 14.5% for a hike stems from persistent core inflation and elevated wage growth, with traders eyeing Q2 data ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoReserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
No Change 87%
Increase 14%
Decrease <1%
$21,455 Vol.
$21,455 Vol.
27 may 2026
Increase
14%
No Change
87%
Decrease
<1%
No Change 87%
Increase 14%
Decrease <1%
$21,455 Vol.
$21,455 Vol.
27 may 2026
Increase
$6,231 Vol.
14%
No Change
$6,086 Vol.
87%
Decrease
$9,138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 87% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 27 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's unanimous April 8 consensus hold at 2.25% amid sticky inflation pressures and subdued growth. March 2026 quarter CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year—unchanged from prior and hotter than the 2.9% consensus forecast—sustaining a restrictive stance within the 1-3% target band, while December 2025 GDP grew just 0.2%, tempering cut odds at 0.3%. Hawkish tail risk at 14.5% for a hike stems from persistent core inflation and elevated wage growth, with traders eyeing Q2 data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Volumen
$21,455Fecha de finalización
27 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 87% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 27 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's unanimous April 8 consensus hold at 2.25% amid sticky inflation pressures and subdued growth. March 2026 quarter CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year—unchanged from prior and hotter than the 2.9% consensus forecast—sustaining a restrictive stance within the 1-3% target band, while December 2025 GDP grew just 0.2%, tempering cut odds at 0.3%. Hawkish tail risk at 14.5% for a hike stems from persistent core inflation and elevated wage growth, with traders eyeing Q2 data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$21,455Fecha de finalización
27 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price an 87% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 27 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's unanimous April 8 consensus hold at 2.25% amid sticky inflation pressures and subdued growth. March 2026 quarter CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year—unchanged from prior and hotter than the 2.9% consensus forecast—sustaining a restrictive stance within the 1-3% target band, while December 2025 GDP grew just 0.2%, tempering cut odds at 0.3%. Hawkish tail risk at 14.5% for a hike stems from persistent core inflation and elevated wage growth, with traders eyeing Q2 data ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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