The Parti Québécois holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting consistent leads or ties near 30 percent in recent polling averages, robust francophone support, and seat projections that frequently award it a majority or plurality in the National Assembly. The Parti Libéral du Québec trails closely at around 28 percent, benefiting from its federalist base and competitive standing in the Montreal region under new leader Charles Milliard. The Coalition Avenir Québec has recovered modestly to the low 20s following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership win and swearing-in as premier, narrowing the gap in a three-way race but remaining behind the top two. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec, Québec solidaire, and Parti Vert du Québec register minimal support and limited seat prospects. The fluid contest features a large undecided voter share and ongoing leadership transitions that continue to shape voter intentions ahead of the fixed election date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
Ganador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
PQ 57%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$570,533 Vol.
$570,533 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
57%
PLQ
25%
CAQ
18%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 57%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$570,533 Vol.
$570,533 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
$59,401 Vol.
57%
PLQ
$61,794 Vol.
25%
CAQ
$70,426 Vol.
18%
PCQ
$174,245 Vol.
<1%
QS
$74,540 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$130,127 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting consistent leads or ties near 30 percent in recent polling averages, robust francophone support, and seat projections that frequently award it a majority or plurality in the National Assembly. The Parti Libéral du Québec trails closely at around 28 percent, benefiting from its federalist base and competitive standing in the Montreal region under new leader Charles Milliard. The Coalition Avenir Québec has recovered modestly to the low 20s following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership win and swearing-in as premier, narrowing the gap in a three-way race but remaining behind the top two. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec, Québec solidaire, and Parti Vert du Québec register minimal support and limited seat prospects. The fluid contest features a large undecided voter share and ongoing leadership transitions that continue to shape voter intentions ahead of the fixed election date.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volumen
$570,533Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting consistent leads or ties near 30 percent in recent polling averages, robust francophone support, and seat projections that frequently award it a majority or plurality in the National Assembly. The Parti Libéral du Québec trails closely at around 28 percent, benefiting from its federalist base and competitive standing in the Montreal region under new leader Charles Milliard. The Coalition Avenir Québec has recovered modestly to the low 20s following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership win and swearing-in as premier, narrowing the gap in a three-way race but remaining behind the top two. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec, Québec solidaire, and Parti Vert du Québec register minimal support and limited seat prospects. The fluid contest features a large undecided voter share and ongoing leadership transitions that continue to shape voter intentions ahead of the fixed election date.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$570,533Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting consistent leads or ties near 30 percent in recent polling averages, robust francophone support, and seat projections that frequently award it a majority or plurality in the National Assembly. The Parti Libéral du Québec trails closely at around 28 percent, benefiting from its federalist base and competitive standing in the Montreal region under new leader Charles Milliard. The Coalition Avenir Québec has recovered modestly to the low 20s following Christine Fréchette’s April leadership win and swearing-in as premier, narrowing the gap in a three-way race but remaining behind the top two. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec, Québec solidaire, and Parti Vert du Québec register minimal support and limited seat prospects. The fluid contest features a large undecided voter share and ongoing leadership transitions that continue to shape voter intentions ahead of the fixed election date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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