Recent seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 position the Parti Québécois (PQ) as the frontrunner to secure the most seats in the National Assembly, with 55-72 projected despite a tight popular vote race against the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) near 28% each, reflecting PQ's efficient vote distribution in key ridings. Trader consensus implies 56.5% odds for PQ victory, driven by mid-April polls (Léger April 20: PQ 31%, PLQ 28%; Pallas April 14: PLQ 31.8%, PQ 28.5%) showing both ahead of the collapsed Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 14-17% following Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win amid François Legault's January resignation over dismal approval ratings. CAQ trails at 10.5% odds due to ongoing fatigue, while minor parties like PCQ, QS, PVQ languish below 1%. The contest remains volatile six months from the fixed October 5 deadline, with regional dynamics and undecided voters pivotal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
Ganador de las elecciones generales de Quebec
PQ 56%
PLQ 36%
CAQ 8%
PCQ <1%
$457,393 Vol.
$457,393 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
56%
PLQ
36%
CAQ
8%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 56%
PLQ 36%
CAQ 8%
PCQ <1%
$457,393 Vol.
$457,393 Vol.
5 oct 2026
PQ
$49,028 Vol.
56%
PLQ
$53,174 Vol.
36%
CAQ
$50,315 Vol.
8%
PCQ
$148,480 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$107,468 Vol.
<1%
QS
$48,930 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 position the Parti Québécois (PQ) as the frontrunner to secure the most seats in the National Assembly, with 55-72 projected despite a tight popular vote race against the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) near 28% each, reflecting PQ's efficient vote distribution in key ridings. Trader consensus implies 56.5% odds for PQ victory, driven by mid-April polls (Léger April 20: PQ 31%, PLQ 28%; Pallas April 14: PLQ 31.8%, PQ 28.5%) showing both ahead of the collapsed Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 14-17% following Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win amid François Legault's January resignation over dismal approval ratings. CAQ trails at 10.5% odds due to ongoing fatigue, while minor parties like PCQ, QS, PVQ languish below 1%. The contest remains volatile six months from the fixed October 5 deadline, with regional dynamics and undecided voters pivotal.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volumen
$457,393Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 position the Parti Québécois (PQ) as the frontrunner to secure the most seats in the National Assembly, with 55-72 projected despite a tight popular vote race against the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) near 28% each, reflecting PQ's efficient vote distribution in key ridings. Trader consensus implies 56.5% odds for PQ victory, driven by mid-April polls (Léger April 20: PQ 31%, PLQ 28%; Pallas April 14: PLQ 31.8%, PQ 28.5%) showing both ahead of the collapsed Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 14-17% following Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win amid François Legault's January resignation over dismal approval ratings. CAQ trails at 10.5% odds due to ongoing fatigue, while minor parties like PCQ, QS, PVQ languish below 1%. The contest remains volatile six months from the fixed October 5 deadline, with regional dynamics and undecided voters pivotal.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$457,393Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 position the Parti Québécois (PQ) as the frontrunner to secure the most seats in the National Assembly, with 55-72 projected despite a tight popular vote race against the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) near 28% each, reflecting PQ's efficient vote distribution in key ridings. Trader consensus implies 56.5% odds for PQ victory, driven by mid-April polls (Léger April 20: PQ 31%, PLQ 28%; Pallas April 14: PLQ 31.8%, PQ 28.5%) showing both ahead of the collapsed Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 14-17% following Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win amid François Legault's January resignation over dismal approval ratings. CAQ trails at 10.5% odds due to ongoing fatigue, while minor parties like PCQ, QS, PVQ languish below 1%. The contest remains volatile six months from the fixed October 5 deadline, with regional dynamics and undecided voters pivotal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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