With over 95% of ballots counted from Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election, trader consensus heavily favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino for second place at 95.5% implied probability, securing a June 7 runoff against frontrunner Keiko Fujimori, driven by his surge from strong rural and southern support that edged out far-right rival Rafael López Aliaga (3%). Delays in finalizing results—due to ballot delivery issues, voting extensions, and thousands of challenged votes—have extended counting past three weeks, with official proclamation by the National Jury of Elections (JNE) expected by mid-May. López Aliaga could challenge this if uncounted urban ballots from Lima or legal disputes overturn the narrow 24,000-vote lead, though rural trends make a reversal unlikely absent major irregularities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRoberto Sánchez Palomino 95.4%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.8%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$5,867,786 Vol.
$5,867,786 Vol.
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
95%
Rafael López Aliaga
3%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 95.4%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.8%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$5,867,786 Vol.
$5,867,786 Vol.
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
95%
Rafael López Aliaga
3%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 95% of ballots counted from Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election, trader consensus heavily favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino for second place at 95.5% implied probability, securing a June 7 runoff against frontrunner Keiko Fujimori, driven by his surge from strong rural and southern support that edged out far-right rival Rafael López Aliaga (3%). Delays in finalizing results—due to ballot delivery issues, voting extensions, and thousands of challenged votes—have extended counting past three weeks, with official proclamation by the National Jury of Elections (JNE) expected by mid-May. López Aliaga could challenge this if uncounted urban ballots from Lima or legal disputes overturn the narrow 24,000-vote lead, though rural trends make a reversal unlikely absent major irregularities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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