Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat after Markwayne Mullin's March resignation to lead the Department of Homeland Security and Alan Armstrong's interim appointment, with the Republican primary set for June 16. The state’s longstanding Republican dominance, reflected in a strongly positive partisan voting index and consistent electoral results, underpins trader consensus around a GOP victory in November. Multiple Republican candidates, including Kevin Hern who leads recent primary polling, face a fragmented Democratic primary field with limited statewide profile or resources. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, aligning with historical patterns where the party has held the seat for decades. A major primary upset producing a damaged nominee, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and polling fundamentals make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$14,676 Vol.
$14,676 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
92%
Demócrata
4%
$14,676 Vol.
$14,676 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$8,923 Vol.
92%
Demócrata
$5,754 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat after Markwayne Mullin's March resignation to lead the Department of Homeland Security and Alan Armstrong's interim appointment, with the Republican primary set for June 16. The state’s longstanding Republican dominance, reflected in a strongly positive partisan voting index and consistent electoral results, underpins trader consensus around a GOP victory in November. Multiple Republican candidates, including Kevin Hern who leads recent primary polling, face a fragmented Democratic primary field with limited statewide profile or resources. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, aligning with historical patterns where the party has held the seat for decades. A major primary upset producing a damaged nominee, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and polling fundamentals make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$14,676Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat after Markwayne Mullin's March resignation to lead the Department of Homeland Security and Alan Armstrong's interim appointment, with the Republican primary set for June 16. The state’s longstanding Republican dominance, reflected in a strongly positive partisan voting index and consistent electoral results, underpins trader consensus around a GOP victory in November. Multiple Republican candidates, including Kevin Hern who leads recent primary polling, face a fragmented Democratic primary field with limited statewide profile or resources. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, aligning with historical patterns where the party has held the seat for decades. A major primary upset producing a damaged nominee, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and polling fundamentals make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$14,676Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat after Markwayne Mullin's March resignation to lead the Department of Homeland Security and Alan Armstrong's interim appointment, with the Republican primary set for June 16. The state’s longstanding Republican dominance, reflected in a strongly positive partisan voting index and consistent electoral results, underpins trader consensus around a GOP victory in November. Multiple Republican candidates, including Kevin Hern who leads recent primary polling, face a fragmented Democratic primary field with limited statewide profile or resources. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, aligning with historical patterns where the party has held the seat for decades. A major primary upset producing a damaged nominee, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and polling fundamentals make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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