The Oklahoma U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Markwayne Mullin's March confirmation as DHS Secretary and held interim by Alan Armstrong (ineligible to run), reflects trader consensus at 92.5% for Republican victory due to the state's R+17 partisan lean, historical GOP blowouts, and Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding Republican primary position with over $8 million raised, Trump endorsement, and early March polls showing him at 49-52%. Democratic primary contenders like Jim Priest lag far behind in fundraising amid weak statewide performance. The June 16 primaries loom, but scenarios like a chaotic GOP runoff, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow odds, though forecasters rate it Solid Republican.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$13,543 Vol.
$13,543 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
93%
Demócrata
6%
$13,543 Vol.
$13,543 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$8,349 Vol.
93%
Demócrata
$5,194 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Oklahoma U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Markwayne Mullin's March confirmation as DHS Secretary and held interim by Alan Armstrong (ineligible to run), reflects trader consensus at 92.5% for Republican victory due to the state's R+17 partisan lean, historical GOP blowouts, and Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding Republican primary position with over $8 million raised, Trump endorsement, and early March polls showing him at 49-52%. Democratic primary contenders like Jim Priest lag far behind in fundraising amid weak statewide performance. The June 16 primaries loom, but scenarios like a chaotic GOP runoff, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow odds, though forecasters rate it Solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$13,543Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Oklahoma U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Markwayne Mullin's March confirmation as DHS Secretary and held interim by Alan Armstrong (ineligible to run), reflects trader consensus at 92.5% for Republican victory due to the state's R+17 partisan lean, historical GOP blowouts, and Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding Republican primary position with over $8 million raised, Trump endorsement, and early March polls showing him at 49-52%. Democratic primary contenders like Jim Priest lag far behind in fundraising amid weak statewide performance. The June 16 primaries loom, but scenarios like a chaotic GOP runoff, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow odds, though forecasters rate it Solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$13,543Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Oklahoma U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Markwayne Mullin's March confirmation as DHS Secretary and held interim by Alan Armstrong (ineligible to run), reflects trader consensus at 92.5% for Republican victory due to the state's R+17 partisan lean, historical GOP blowouts, and Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding Republican primary position with over $8 million raised, Trump endorsement, and early March polls showing him at 49-52%. Democratic primary contenders like Jim Priest lag far behind in fundraising amid weak statewide performance. The June 16 primaries loom, but scenarios like a chaotic GOP runoff, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave could narrow odds, though forecasters rate it Solid Republican.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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