Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability against passage of Missouri Amendment 3, the November 3 ballot measure to repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom—including most abortions—and permanently prohibit gender transition procedures like puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll showed only 47% support versus 40% opposition among likely voters, with the popular gender-affirming care ban providing a boost but insufficient to overcome the prior pro-choice victory. Thousands rallied at the Missouri Capitol on April 30 against the measure, signaling robust opposition mobilization, while pro-ban fundraising trails significantly. No major shifts have occurred since March, underscoring persistent uncertainty ahead of the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability against passage of Missouri Amendment 3, the November 3 ballot measure to repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom—including most abortions—and permanently prohibit gender transition procedures like puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll showed only 47% support versus 40% opposition among likely voters, with the popular gender-affirming care ban providing a boost but insufficient to overcome the prior pro-choice victory. Thousands rallied at the Missouri Capitol on April 30 against the measure, signaling robust opposition mobilization, while pro-ban fundraising trails significantly. No major shifts have occurred since March, underscoring persistent uncertainty ahead of the general election.
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$536Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability against passage of Missouri Amendment 3, the November 3 ballot measure to repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom—including most abortions—and permanently prohibit gender transition procedures like puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll showed only 47% support versus 40% opposition among likely voters, with the popular gender-affirming care ban providing a boost but insufficient to overcome the prior pro-choice victory. Thousands rallied at the Missouri Capitol on April 30 against the measure, signaling robust opposition mobilization, while pro-ban fundraising trails significantly. No major shifts have occurred since March, underscoring persistent uncertainty ahead of the general election.
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Volumen
$536Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability against passage of Missouri Amendment 3, the November 3 ballot measure to repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom—including most abortions—and permanently prohibit gender transition procedures like puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll showed only 47% support versus 40% opposition among likely voters, with the popular gender-affirming care ban providing a boost but insufficient to overcome the prior pro-choice victory. Thousands rallied at the Missouri Capitol on April 30 against the measure, signaling robust opposition mobilization, while pro-ban fundraising trails significantly. No major shifts have occurred since March, underscoring persistent uncertainty ahead of the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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