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icon for ¿Se aprobará la enmienda de protección del aborto de Virginia?
Política·Parciales

¿Se aprobará la enmienda de protección del aborto de Virginia?

icon for ¿Se aprobará la enmienda de protección del aborto de Virginia?
Política·Parciales

¿Se aprobará la enmienda de protección del aborto de Virginia?

Sí

0% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

0% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 72.5% for the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, reflecting strong polling support amid post-Dobbs momentum for abortion rights ballot measures. Recent surveys, including Wason Center's January 2026 poll showing 66% support and a State Navigate poll in mid-April indicating a five-point Yes lead, underscore majority backing for enshrining reproductive freedom—including abortion care, contraception, and fertility treatments—in the state constitution, with third-trimester regulations permitted. Democratic majorities in the General Assembly advanced it through successive sessions in 2025 and early 2026, following their 2025 election gains. Ongoing lawsuits alleging procedural flaws in ballot placement introduce minor uncertainty, though a new law may address key claims, as pro-amendment groups outraise opponents significantly ahead of the midterm election turnout.

Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Volumen
$82
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 72.5% for the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, reflecting strong polling support amid post-Dobbs momentum for abortion rights ballot measures. Recent surveys, including Wason Center's January 2026 poll showing 66% support and a State Navigate poll in mid-April indicating a five-point Yes lead, underscore majority backing for enshrining reproductive freedom—including abortion care, contraception, and fertility treatments—in the state constitution, with third-trimester regulations permitted. Democratic majorities in the General Assembly advanced it through successive sessions in 2025 and early 2026, following their 2025 election gains. Ongoing lawsuits alleging procedural flaws in ballot placement introduce minor uncertainty, though a new law may address key claims, as pro-amendment groups outraise opponents significantly ahead of the midterm election turnout.

Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Volumen
$82
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Se aprobará la enmienda de protección del aborto de Virginia?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Aprobará la enmienda de protección del aborto en Virginia?" con 59%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Se aprobará la enmienda de protección del aborto de Virginia?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Se aprobará la enmienda de protección del aborto de Virginia?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Se aprobará la enmienda de protección del aborto de Virginia?" es "¿Aprobará la enmienda de protección del aborto en Virginia?" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Se aprobará la enmienda de protección del aborto de Virginia?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.