Trader consensus positions Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull as the clear frontrunner to win New Mexico's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, 2026, with 62% implied probability, driven by his early lead in the Emerson College poll released April 22 (21% support among 436 likely voters, +/-4.7% margin), ahead of Duke Rodriguez at 10% and Doug Turner at 9% amid 61% undecideds favoring the perceived mainstream leader. Hull's momentum stems from securing strong delegate backing at the March GOP pre-primary convention and his executive experience highlighted in recent forums on education and the April 30 KOAT-hosted debate, where candidates converged on crime, economy, taxes, and child welfare reforms. Rodriguez trails at 20% on name recognition from prior Human Services Secretary role, despite a ballot challenge resolved by the state Supreme Court in early April; the fragmented field with low name ID leaves room for shifts before a May 19 debate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGreg Hull 62%
Duke Rodriguez 20%
Brian Cillessen 1.7%
John Sanchez 1.5%
$821,458 Vol.
$821,458 Vol.
Greg Hull
62%
Duke Rodriguez
20%
Brian Cillessen
2%
John Sanchez
2%
Susana Martinez
1%
Belinda Robertson
1%
Doug Turner
1%
Steve Lanier
1%
Mark Murphy
1%
Judith Nakamura
<1%
Greg Hull 62%
Duke Rodriguez 20%
Brian Cillessen 1.7%
John Sanchez 1.5%
$821,458 Vol.
$821,458 Vol.
Greg Hull
62%
Duke Rodriguez
20%
Brian Cillessen
2%
John Sanchez
2%
Susana Martinez
1%
Belinda Robertson
1%
Doug Turner
1%
Steve Lanier
1%
Mark Murphy
1%
Judith Nakamura
<1%
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull as the clear frontrunner to win New Mexico's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, 2026, with 62% implied probability, driven by his early lead in the Emerson College poll released April 22 (21% support among 436 likely voters, +/-4.7% margin), ahead of Duke Rodriguez at 10% and Doug Turner at 9% amid 61% undecideds favoring the perceived mainstream leader. Hull's momentum stems from securing strong delegate backing at the March GOP pre-primary convention and his executive experience highlighted in recent forums on education and the April 30 KOAT-hosted debate, where candidates converged on crime, economy, taxes, and child welfare reforms. Rodriguez trails at 20% on name recognition from prior Human Services Secretary role, despite a ballot challenge resolved by the state Supreme Court in early April; the fragmented field with low name ID leaves room for shifts before a May 19 debate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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