Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte commands 85.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire gubernatorial Republican primary due to her strong fundraising records, high approval ratings entering her second year, and lack of major challengers amid the June 2026 filing deadline. Recent UNH polling from January underscores her dominance for re-election, bolstered by a decisive 2024 general election win and promotion of fiscal policies like opposing an income tax. Trump ally Corey Lewandowski holds 11% on lingering speculation from late 2025 reports of a potential primary challenge, fueled by some GOP base criticism over issues like congressional redistricting resistance, though he has not formally entered. With the September 8 primary approaching, trader consensus reflects Ayotte's incumbency edge and historical primary win rates for sitting governors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
Kelly Ayotte
86%
Corey Lewandowski
10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
Kelly Ayotte
$3,155 Vol.
86%
Corey Lewandowski
$2,611 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte commands 85.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire gubernatorial Republican primary due to her strong fundraising records, high approval ratings entering her second year, and lack of major challengers amid the June 2026 filing deadline. Recent UNH polling from January underscores her dominance for re-election, bolstered by a decisive 2024 general election win and promotion of fiscal policies like opposing an income tax. Trump ally Corey Lewandowski holds 11% on lingering speculation from late 2025 reports of a potential primary challenge, fueled by some GOP base criticism over issues like congressional redistricting resistance, though he has not formally entered. With the September 8 primary approaching, trader consensus reflects Ayotte's incumbency edge and historical primary win rates for sitting governors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Volumen
$5,766Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte commands 85.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire gubernatorial Republican primary due to her strong fundraising records, high approval ratings entering her second year, and lack of major challengers amid the June 2026 filing deadline. Recent UNH polling from January underscores her dominance for re-election, bolstered by a decisive 2024 general election win and promotion of fiscal policies like opposing an income tax. Trump ally Corey Lewandowski holds 11% on lingering speculation from late 2025 reports of a potential primary challenge, fueled by some GOP base criticism over issues like congressional redistricting resistance, though he has not formally entered. With the September 8 primary approaching, trader consensus reflects Ayotte's incumbency edge and historical primary win rates for sitting governors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$5,766Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte commands 85.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire gubernatorial Republican primary due to her strong fundraising records, high approval ratings entering her second year, and lack of major challengers amid the June 2026 filing deadline. Recent UNH polling from January underscores her dominance for re-election, bolstered by a decisive 2024 general election win and promotion of fiscal policies like opposing an income tax. Trump ally Corey Lewandowski holds 11% on lingering speculation from late 2025 reports of a potential primary challenge, fueled by some GOP base criticism over issues like congressional redistricting resistance, though he has not formally entered. With the September 8 primary approaching, trader consensus reflects Ayotte's incumbency edge and historical primary win rates for sitting governors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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