Cleitinho Azevedo leads the Minas Gerais governor race with consistent first-round polling support of 30-37% across multiple surveys, well ahead of fragmented opposition including Alexandre Kalil, Rodrigo Pacheco, and others. This positioning stems from his established Senate profile, evangelical voter base, and recent alignment between his Republicanos party and the PL, which has consolidated right-leaning support ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. Pacheco’s lower numbers reflect the absence of a confirmed Lula-backed surge, while potential candidacies from figures like Mateus Simões remain sidelined in tested scenarios. Trader consensus reflects these poll trends and alliance dynamics, though Cleitinho has not yet formally declared, leaving room for shifts as conventions and endorsements finalize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho Azevedo 68%
Gabriel Azevedo 9.3%
Rodrigo Pacheco 9%
Alexandre Kalil 6.6%
$59,259 Vol.
$59,259 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
68%
Gabriel Azevedo
9%
Rodrigo Pacheco
9%
Alexandre Kalil
7%
Mateus Simões
5%
Benoni Mendes
4%
Nikolas Ferreira
1%
Aécio Neves
<1%
Tadeu Leite
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
<1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 68%
Gabriel Azevedo 9.3%
Rodrigo Pacheco 9%
Alexandre Kalil 6.6%
$59,259 Vol.
$59,259 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$13,755 Vol.
68%
Gabriel Azevedo
$2,512 Vol.
9%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$14,910 Vol.
9%
Alexandre Kalil
$15,082 Vol.
7%
Mateus Simões
$1,575 Vol.
5%
Benoni Mendes
$2,347 Vol.
4%
Nikolas Ferreira
$3,830 Vol.
1%
Aécio Neves
$1,603 Vol.
<1%
Tadeu Leite
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
$1,242 Vol.
<1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo leads the Minas Gerais governor race with consistent first-round polling support of 30-37% across multiple surveys, well ahead of fragmented opposition including Alexandre Kalil, Rodrigo Pacheco, and others. This positioning stems from his established Senate profile, evangelical voter base, and recent alignment between his Republicanos party and the PL, which has consolidated right-leaning support ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. Pacheco’s lower numbers reflect the absence of a confirmed Lula-backed surge, while potential candidacies from figures like Mateus Simões remain sidelined in tested scenarios. Trader consensus reflects these poll trends and alliance dynamics, though Cleitinho has not yet formally declared, leaving room for shifts as conventions and endorsements finalize.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$59,259Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo leads the Minas Gerais governor race with consistent first-round polling support of 30-37% across multiple surveys, well ahead of fragmented opposition including Alexandre Kalil, Rodrigo Pacheco, and others. This positioning stems from his established Senate profile, evangelical voter base, and recent alignment between his Republicanos party and the PL, which has consolidated right-leaning support ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. Pacheco’s lower numbers reflect the absence of a confirmed Lula-backed surge, while potential candidacies from figures like Mateus Simões remain sidelined in tested scenarios. Trader consensus reflects these poll trends and alliance dynamics, though Cleitinho has not yet formally declared, leaving room for shifts as conventions and endorsements finalize.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$59,259Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo leads the Minas Gerais governor race with consistent first-round polling support of 30-37% across multiple surveys, well ahead of fragmented opposition including Alexandre Kalil, Rodrigo Pacheco, and others. This positioning stems from his established Senate profile, evangelical voter base, and recent alignment between his Republicanos party and the PL, which has consolidated right-leaning support ahead of the October 4, 2026 vote. Pacheco’s lower numbers reflect the absence of a confirmed Lula-backed surge, while potential candidacies from figures like Mateus Simões remain sidelined in tested scenarios. Trader consensus reflects these poll trends and alliance dynamics, though Cleitinho has not yet formally declared, leaving room for shifts as conventions and endorsements finalize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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