**Seasonal patterns during Japan's tsuyu rainy season** currently anchor trader expectations for Tokyo's June 17 minimum temperature near 19–20 °C, the clear market leaders at 78 % combined implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and moderate southerly flow typical of early-to-mid June suppress daytime heating and keep overnight lows close to the long-term average of 19–21 °C reported by meteorological agencies. Recent model guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or cold-air outbreak capable of shifting the minimum outside this narrow band, while historical analogs confirm that deviations beyond ±2 °C remain uncommon before the rainy season fully transitions. Updated forecast runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 17 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 17 de junio?
20°C 54%
19°C 29%
22°C 6%
17°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
15°C o menos
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
27%
20°C
54%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C o más
<1%
20°C 54%
19°C 29%
22°C 6%
17°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
15°C o menos
$42 Vol.
3%
16°C
$82 Vol.
1%
17°C
$8 Vol.
4%
18°C
$24 Vol.
4%
19°C
$3 Vol.
27%
20°C
$45 Vol.
54%
21°C
$8 Vol.
4%
22°C
$29 Vol.
6%
23°C
$28 Vol.
1%
24°C
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Seasonal patterns during Japan's tsuyu rainy season** currently anchor trader expectations for Tokyo's June 17 minimum temperature near 19–20 °C, the clear market leaders at 78 % combined implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and moderate southerly flow typical of early-to-mid June suppress daytime heating and keep overnight lows close to the long-term average of 19–21 °C reported by meteorological agencies. Recent model guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or cold-air outbreak capable of shifting the minimum outside this narrow band, while historical analogs confirm that deviations beyond ±2 °C remain uncommon before the rainy season fully transitions. Updated forecast runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$274Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Seasonal patterns during Japan's tsuyu rainy season** currently anchor trader expectations for Tokyo's June 17 minimum temperature near 19–20 °C, the clear market leaders at 78 % combined implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and moderate southerly flow typical of early-to-mid June suppress daytime heating and keep overnight lows close to the long-term average of 19–21 °C reported by meteorological agencies. Recent model guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or cold-air outbreak capable of shifting the minimum outside this narrow band, while historical analogs confirm that deviations beyond ±2 °C remain uncommon before the rainy season fully transitions. Updated forecast runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$274Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Seasonal patterns during Japan's tsuyu rainy season** currently anchor trader expectations for Tokyo's June 17 minimum temperature near 19–20 °C, the clear market leaders at 78 % combined implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and moderate southerly flow typical of early-to-mid June suppress daytime heating and keep overnight lows close to the long-term average of 19–21 °C reported by meteorological agencies. Recent model guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or cold-air outbreak capable of shifting the minimum outside this narrow band, while historical analogs confirm that deviations beyond ±2 °C remain uncommon before the rainy season fully transitions. Updated forecast runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes