**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, centers on 25–26°C due to the current southwest monsoon pattern and official forecast guidance.** The Hong Kong Observatory’s 9-day forecast, updated June 14, projects a minimum of 26°C within a 26–29°C range under cloudy conditions with occasional heavy showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when overnight lows typically stabilize near 25–27°C amid high humidity (80–95%) and southwesterly flow that limits radiational cooling. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory reinforce above-normal temperatures through August, consistent with long-term warming trends and neutral-to-warm ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability expected overnight on the 14th–15th, keeping probabilities concentrated on 25–26°C while rendering sub-24°C or 27°C+ outcomes remote. Updated guidance through the evening of June 14 could still shift the exact minimum by 1°C, which explains the modest market spread between the two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 15 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 15 de junio?
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
24°C 26.5%
23°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
22°C o menos
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
22%
25°C
35%
26°C
62%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
24°C 26.5%
23°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
22°C o menos
$642 Vol.
1%
23°C
$650 Vol.
1%
24°C
$292 Vol.
22%
25°C
$210 Vol.
35%
26°C
$454 Vol.
62%
27°C
$2,503 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,800 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,825 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$408 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, centers on 25–26°C due to the current southwest monsoon pattern and official forecast guidance.** The Hong Kong Observatory’s 9-day forecast, updated June 14, projects a minimum of 26°C within a 26–29°C range under cloudy conditions with occasional heavy showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when overnight lows typically stabilize near 25–27°C amid high humidity (80–95%) and southwesterly flow that limits radiational cooling.
Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory reinforce above-normal temperatures through August, consistent with long-term warming trends and neutral-to-warm ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability expected overnight on the 14th–15th, keeping probabilities concentrated on 25–26°C while rendering sub-24°C or 27°C+ outcomes remote. Updated guidance through the evening of June 14 could still shift the exact minimum by 1°C, which explains the modest market spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volumen
$9,289Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, centers on 25–26°C due to the current southwest monsoon pattern and official forecast guidance.** The Hong Kong Observatory’s 9-day forecast, updated June 14, projects a minimum of 26°C within a 26–29°C range under cloudy conditions with occasional heavy showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when overnight lows typically stabilize near 25–27°C amid high humidity (80–95%) and southwesterly flow that limits radiational cooling.
Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory reinforce above-normal temperatures through August, consistent with long-term warming trends and neutral-to-warm ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability expected overnight on the 14th–15th, keeping probabilities concentrated on 25–26°C while rendering sub-24°C or 27°C+ outcomes remote. Updated guidance through the evening of June 14 could still shift the exact minimum by 1°C, which explains the modest market spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,289Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, centers on 25–26°C due to the current southwest monsoon pattern and official forecast guidance.** The Hong Kong Observatory’s 9-day forecast, updated June 14, projects a minimum of 26°C within a 26–29°C range under cloudy conditions with occasional heavy showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when overnight lows typically stabilize near 25–27°C amid high humidity (80–95%) and southwesterly flow that limits radiational cooling. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory reinforce above-normal temperatures through August, consistent with long-term warming trends and neutral-to-warm ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows little day-to-day variability expected overnight on the 14th–15th, keeping probabilities concentrated on 25–26°C while rendering sub-24°C or 27°C+ outcomes remote. Updated guidance through the evening of June 14 could still shift the exact minimum by 1°C, which explains the modest market spread between the two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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