**Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and supporting models point to cloudy skies with heavy rain and showers on June 15, 2026, limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature most likely between 28–30 °C.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29 °C (42.5 %), followed by 28 °C (28.5 %) and 30 °C (22.5 %). Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation, while high humidity and the urban heat island effect in Hong Kong maintain warmth without allowing strong afternoon peaks. June climatology shows average highs near 30–31 °C, but the current pattern—driven by monsoon influences and above-normal seasonal temperatures overall—features suppressed maxima on rainy days. Updated HKO guidance through mid-June reinforces this outlook, with minimal model disagreement on the rain timing that caps the daily high. Traders appear to be pricing the balance between lingering warmth and the cooling influence of expected rainfall.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 43%
28°C 29%
30°C 22%
31°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$36,061 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,061 Vol.
15 jun 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
29%
29°C
43%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 29%
30°C 22%
31°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$36,061 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,061 Vol.
15 jun 2026
23°C or below
$934 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,040 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,926 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$16,503 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,514 Vol.
29%
29°C
$3,581 Vol.
43%
30°C
$2,973 Vol.
22%
31°C
$2,456 Vol.
5%
32°C
$1,371 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and supporting models point to cloudy skies with heavy rain and showers on June 15, 2026, limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature most likely between 28–30 °C.**
This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29 °C (42.5 %), followed by 28 °C (28.5 %) and 30 °C (22.5 %). Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation, while high humidity and the urban heat island effect in Hong Kong maintain warmth without allowing strong afternoon peaks. June climatology shows average highs near 30–31 °C, but the current pattern—driven by monsoon influences and above-normal seasonal temperatures overall—features suppressed maxima on rainy days. Updated HKO guidance through mid-June reinforces this outlook, with minimal model disagreement on the rain timing that caps the daily high. Traders appear to be pricing the balance between lingering warmth and the cooling influence of expected rainfall.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$36,061Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and supporting models point to cloudy skies with heavy rain and showers on June 15, 2026, limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature most likely between 28–30 °C.**
This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29 °C (42.5 %), followed by 28 °C (28.5 %) and 30 °C (22.5 %). Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation, while high humidity and the urban heat island effect in Hong Kong maintain warmth without allowing strong afternoon peaks. June climatology shows average highs near 30–31 °C, but the current pattern—driven by monsoon influences and above-normal seasonal temperatures overall—features suppressed maxima on rainy days. Updated HKO guidance through mid-June reinforces this outlook, with minimal model disagreement on the rain timing that caps the daily high. Traders appear to be pricing the balance between lingering warmth and the cooling influence of expected rainfall.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$36,061Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and supporting models point to cloudy skies with heavy rain and showers on June 15, 2026, limiting daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature most likely between 28–30 °C.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29 °C (42.5 %), followed by 28 °C (28.5 %) and 30 °C (22.5 %). Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation, while high humidity and the urban heat island effect in Hong Kong maintain warmth without allowing strong afternoon peaks. June climatology shows average highs near 30–31 °C, but the current pattern—driven by monsoon influences and above-normal seasonal temperatures overall—features suppressed maxima on rainy days. Updated HKO guidance through mid-June reinforces this outlook, with minimal model disagreement on the rain timing that caps the daily high. Traders appear to be pricing the balance between lingering warmth and the cooling influence of expected rainfall.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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