Latest model guidance from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a daytime maximum of 31–32 °C in Madrid on June 15, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. A ridge of high pressure supporting warm southerly flow, combined with strong June insolation and light winds, favors peak readings in this range, while any increase in cloud cover or isolated showers could cap temperatures at the lower end. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak heating could still differentiate 31 °C from 32 °C or allow a brief excursion to 33 °C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 44%
31°C 37%
33°C 11.6%
30°C 3.6%
NUEVO
$20,941 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,941 Vol.
15 jun 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
37%
32°C
44%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 37%
33°C 11.6%
30°C 3.6%
NUEVO
$20,941 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,941 Vol.
15 jun 2026
27°C or below
$456 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,627 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,290 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,775 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,584 Vol.
37%
32°C
$2,178 Vol.
44%
33°C
$2,690 Vol.
12%
34°C
$4,420 Vol.
3%
35°C
$2,143 Vol.
1%
36°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$706 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model guidance from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a daytime maximum of 31–32 °C in Madrid on June 15, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. A ridge of high pressure supporting warm southerly flow, combined with strong June insolation and light winds, favors peak readings in this range, while any increase in cloud cover or isolated showers could cap temperatures at the lower end. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak heating could still differentiate 31 °C from 32 °C or allow a brief excursion to 33 °C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$20,941Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model guidance from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a daytime maximum of 31–32 °C in Madrid on June 15, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. A ridge of high pressure supporting warm southerly flow, combined with strong June insolation and light winds, favors peak readings in this range, while any increase in cloud cover or isolated showers could cap temperatures at the lower end. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak heating could still differentiate 31 °C from 32 °C or allow a brief excursion to 33 °C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,941Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest model guidance from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a daytime maximum of 31–32 °C in Madrid on June 15, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. A ridge of high pressure supporting warm southerly flow, combined with strong June insolation and light winds, favors peak readings in this range, while any increase in cloud cover or isolated showers could cap temperatures at the lower end. Ensemble spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak heating could still differentiate 31 °C from 32 °C or allow a brief excursion to 33 °C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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