**Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high around 27–30°C on June 17, shaped by expected cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and reduced solar heating.** Official and model guidance from sources such as timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather point to overcast or rainy conditions that suppress daytime maxima relative to clearer June averages near 29–31°C. Light precipitation and higher humidity limit surface warming, while modest northeasterly winds provide some mixing. Traders appear to weigh the probability of stronger cloud/rain suppression (favoring 24–26°C outcomes, which together exceed 75% implied probability) against partial clearing that could allow brief peaks near 28–29°C. Historical June variability and the short lead time to resolution amplify sensitivity to the next model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, which will refine cloud timing and rainfall amounts. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Chengdu’s primary station, making precise forecast adjustments the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 17?
24°C or below 27%
26°C 22%
25°C 19%
27°C 13%
24°C or below
25%
25°C
20%
26°C
22%
27°C
13%
28°C
9%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
24°C or below 27%
26°C 22%
25°C 19%
27°C 13%
24°C or below
25%
25°C
20%
26°C
22%
27°C
13%
28°C
9%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high around 27–30°C on June 17, shaped by expected cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and reduced solar heating.** Official and model guidance from sources such as timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather point to overcast or rainy conditions that suppress daytime maxima relative to clearer June averages near 29–31°C. Light precipitation and higher humidity limit surface warming, while modest northeasterly winds provide some mixing. Traders appear to weigh the probability of stronger cloud/rain suppression (favoring 24–26°C outcomes, which together exceed 75% implied probability) against partial clearing that could allow brief peaks near 28–29°C. Historical June variability and the short lead time to resolution amplify sensitivity to the next model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, which will refine cloud timing and rainfall amounts. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Chengdu’s primary station, making precise forecast adjustments the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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